德淵（4720）股票可以買嗎？K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期：
，每天14:00後更新。
本日股價資訊
| 開 |
高 |
低 |
收 |
| 13.7 |
13.85 |
13.65 |
13.7 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
每日股價資訊
| 日期 |
開盤價 |
最高價 |
最低價 |
收盤價 |
成交量 |
| 2025/06/05 |
16.35 |
16.5 |
16.25 |
16.25 |
114 |
| 2025/06/06 |
16.2 |
16.3 |
16.1 |
16.2 |
109 |
| 2025/06/09 |
16.2 |
16.2 |
15.95 |
16.05 |
240 |
| 2025/06/10 |
16.05 |
16.45 |
16 |
16.45 |
193 |
| 2025/06/11 |
16.4 |
16.4 |
16.1 |
16.35 |
135 |
| 2025/06/12 |
16.25 |
16.45 |
16.2 |
16.35 |
128 |
| 2025/06/13 |
16.3 |
16.3 |
15.95 |
16 |
283 |
| 2025/06/16 |
15.95 |
16 |
15.8 |
15.9 |
115 |
| 2025/06/17 |
16 |
16.25 |
16 |
16.25 |
129 |
| 2025/06/18 |
16.25 |
16.25 |
16.15 |
16.2 |
75 |
| 2025/06/19 |
16.2 |
16.2 |
15.95 |
16 |
135 |
| 2025/06/20 |
15.95 |
16 |
15.75 |
15.95 |
186 |
| 2025/06/23 |
15.85 |
15.85 |
15.45 |
15.6 |
207 |
| 2025/06/24 |
15.8 |
16.05 |
15.8 |
15.9 |
150 |
| 2025/06/25 |
15.95 |
16.05 |
15.9 |
15.95 |
66 |
| 2025/06/26 |
16 |
16.25 |
15.95 |
16.1 |
114 |
| 2025/06/27 |
16.15 |
16.25 |
16 |
16.1 |
132 |
| 2025/06/30 |
16.1 |
16.15 |
15.85 |
15.85 |
185 |
| 2025/07/01 |
15.95 |
16.35 |
15.7 |
16.2 |
297 |
| 2025/07/02 |
16.45 |
16.6 |
16.25 |
16.3 |
212 |
| 2025/07/03 |
16.4 |
16.6 |
16.35 |
16.45 |
121 |
| 2025/07/04 |
16.45 |
16.5 |
16.2 |
16.3 |
166 |
| 2025/07/07 |
16.15 |
16.25 |
16 |
16.1 |
188 |
| 2025/07/08 |
16.1 |
16.2 |
15.95 |
16.05 |
319 |
| 2025/07/09 |
15 |
15.1 |
14.9 |
14.9 |
216 |
| 2025/07/10 |
14.9 |
15 |
14.8 |
15 |
162 |
| 2025/07/11 |
14.9 |
15.15 |
14.9 |
15 |
118 |
| 2025/07/14 |
15 |
15 |
14.9 |
14.9 |
114 |
| 2025/07/15 |
14.9 |
15 |
14.65 |
14.7 |
192 |
| 2025/07/16 |
14.75 |
14.95 |
14.75 |
14.8 |
158 |
| 2025/07/17 |
14.85 |
15.15 |
14.8 |
15.1 |
119 |
| 2025/07/18 |
15.1 |
15.1 |
14.95 |
15 |
80 |
| 2025/07/21 |
15.05 |
15.1 |
14.95 |
15 |
69 |
| 2025/07/22 |
15.05 |
15.05 |
14.6 |
14.6 |
133 |
| 2025/07/23 |
14.65 |
14.95 |
14.65 |
14.85 |
95 |
| 2025/07/24 |
14.95 |
15 |
14.8 |
14.95 |
65 |
| 2025/07/25 |
14.95 |
15.1 |
14.85 |
15 |
143 |
| 2025/07/28 |
15 |
15.55 |
14.95 |
15.3 |
357 |
| 2025/07/29 |
15.35 |
15.4 |
15.05 |
15.2 |
99 |
| 2025/07/30 |
15.2 |
15.3 |
15 |
15.25 |
118 |
| 2025/07/31 |
15.25 |
15.25 |
15.1 |
15.1 |
75 |
| 2025/08/01 |
15 |
15.1 |
14.8 |
15.1 |
104 |
| 2025/08/04 |
15 |
15.25 |
14.75 |
15.25 |
138 |
| 2025/08/05 |
15.25 |
15.4 |
15.2 |
15.3 |
119 |
| 2025/08/06 |
15.35 |
15.35 |
15.2 |
15.2 |
98 |
| 2025/08/07 |
15.25 |
15.3 |
15.15 |
15.2 |
79 |
| 2025/08/08 |
15.2 |
15.25 |
15.1 |
15.2 |
62 |
| 2025/08/11 |
15.25 |
15.35 |
15 |
15.15 |
108 |
| 2025/08/12 |
15.15 |
15.35 |
15.15 |
15.3 |
75 |
| 2025/08/13 |
15.3 |
15.45 |
15.2 |
15.3 |
126 |
| 2025/08/14 |
15.2 |
15.2 |
14.9 |
15 |
323 |
| 2025/08/15 |
15.05 |
15.1 |
14.95 |
15 |
133 |
| 2025/08/18 |
15.05 |
15.15 |
14.95 |
15.05 |
125 |
| 2025/08/19 |
15.1 |
15.3 |
15.1 |
15.3 |
194 |
| 2025/08/20 |
15.3 |
15.3 |
14.95 |
15 |
243 |
| 2025/08/21 |
15.1 |
15.15 |
14.95 |
15.05 |
214 |
| 2025/08/22 |
15.1 |
15.2 |
15 |
15.1 |
93 |
| 2025/08/25 |
15.15 |
15.2 |
15.1 |
15.15 |
75 |
| 2025/08/26 |
15.25 |
15.25 |
15.05 |
15.1 |
89 |
| 2025/08/27 |
15.05 |
15.25 |
15.05 |
15.2 |
68 |
| 2025/08/28 |
15.1 |
15.2 |
15.1 |
15.15 |
73 |
| 2025/08/29 |
15.2 |
16.5 |
15.2 |
15.85 |
1,002 |
| 2025/09/01 |
15.85 |
15.85 |
15.5 |
15.55 |
268 |
| 2025/09/02 |
15.65 |
15.7 |
15.25 |
15.45 |
192 |
| 2025/09/03 |
15.45 |
15.9 |
15.45 |
15.75 |
165 |
| 2025/09/04 |
15.8 |
16.05 |
15.8 |
16 |
288 |
| 2025/09/05 |
16.1 |
16.6 |
16 |
16.1 |
564 |
| 2025/09/08 |
16.35 |
16.4 |
16.1 |
16.15 |
157 |
| 2025/09/09 |
16.1 |
16.15 |
15.7 |
15.75 |
228 |
| 2025/09/10 |
15.8 |
15.85 |
15.55 |
15.65 |
140 |
| 2025/09/11 |
15.75 |
15.75 |
15.35 |
15.4 |
158 |
| 2025/09/12 |
15.4 |
15.5 |
15.35 |
15.4 |
82 |
| 2025/09/15 |
15.4 |
15.5 |
15.3 |
15.45 |
63 |
| 2025/09/16 |
15.45 |
15.75 |
15.45 |
15.7 |
114 |
| 2025/09/17 |
15.6 |
15.8 |
15.6 |
15.7 |
114 |
| 2025/09/18 |
15.7 |
15.7 |
15.6 |
15.65 |
131 |
| 2025/09/19 |
15.7 |
15.75 |
15.6 |
15.65 |
115 |
| 2025/09/22 |
15.7 |
15.75 |
15.5 |
15.7 |
130 |
| 2025/09/23 |
15.7 |
15.75 |
15.5 |
15.5 |
105 |
| 2025/09/24 |
15.65 |
15.65 |
15.45 |
15.55 |
74 |
| 2025/09/25 |
15.6 |
15.95 |
15.6 |
15.85 |
154 |
| 2025/09/26 |
15.8 |
15.9 |
15.6 |
15.75 |
102 |
| 2025/09/30 |
15.7 |
15.75 |
15.6 |
15.7 |
57 |
| 2025/10/01 |
15.75 |
15.8 |
15.5 |
15.6 |
104 |
| 2025/10/02 |
15.65 |
15.7 |
15.5 |
15.5 |
66 |
| 2025/10/03 |
15.55 |
15.55 |
15.25 |
15.3 |
152 |
| 2025/10/07 |
15.3 |
15.35 |
15 |
15.15 |
220 |
| 2025/10/08 |
15.2 |
15.5 |
15.2 |
15.4 |
103 |
| 2025/10/09 |
15.5 |
15.5 |
15.2 |
15.3 |
109 |
| 2025/10/13 |
15.2 |
15.3 |
14.65 |
15.2 |
127 |
| 2025/10/14 |
15.25 |
15.4 |
14.75 |
15 |
186 |
| 2025/10/15 |
15.05 |
15.1 |
14.9 |
15 |
119 |
| 2025/10/16 |
15.05 |
15.15 |
15 |
15 |
62 |
| 2025/10/17 |
15.1 |
15.35 |
15.05 |
15.2 |
123 |
| 2025/10/20 |
15.2 |
15.25 |
15.05 |
15.1 |
88 |
| 2025/10/21 |
15.2 |
15.35 |
14.5 |
14.95 |
202 |
| 2025/10/22 |
15.05 |
15.1 |
14.8 |
14.95 |
142 |
| 2025/10/23 |
15 |
15.25 |
14.85 |
15.1 |
136 |
| 2025/10/27 |
15.1 |
15.15 |
14.65 |
14.8 |
355 |
| 2025/10/28 |
14.95 |
14.95 |
14.7 |
14.85 |
108 |
| 2025/10/29 |
14.9 |
15.05 |
14.75 |
14.95 |
102 |
| 2025/10/30 |
14.95 |
15 |
14.3 |
14.35 |
535 |
| 2025/10/31 |
14.45 |
14.45 |
14.3 |
14.3 |
148 |
| 2025/11/03 |
14.3 |
14.3 |
13.9 |
14 |
322 |
| 2025/11/04 |
14.1 |
14.15 |
13.8 |
13.9 |
143 |
| 2025/11/05 |
13.9 |
14.1 |
13.6 |
14 |
106 |
| 2025/11/06 |
14.1 |
14.25 |
13.95 |
14.1 |
79 |
| 2025/11/07 |
14.1 |
14.15 |
13.9 |
13.9 |
70 |
| 2025/11/10 |
14.1 |
14.1 |
13.65 |
13.7 |
170 |
| 2025/11/11 |
13.8 |
14.15 |
13.8 |
14 |
135 |
| 2025/11/12 |
14.1 |
14.25 |
14 |
14.2 |
96 |
| 2025/11/13 |
14.25 |
14.35 |
14.1 |
14.25 |
86 |
| 2025/11/14 |
14.25 |
14.35 |
14 |
14 |
131 |
| 2025/11/17 |
14.05 |
14.05 |
13.4 |
13.6 |
344 |
| 2025/11/18 |
13.6 |
13.8 |
13.2 |
13.45 |
211 |
| 2025/11/19 |
13.45 |
13.65 |
13.45 |
13.55 |
118 |
| 2025/11/20 |
13.65 |
13.9 |
13.65 |
13.85 |
105 |
| 2025/11/21 |
13.75 |
13.8 |
13.55 |
13.6 |
67 |
| 2025/11/24 |
13.65 |
13.7 |
13.55 |
13.65 |
45 |
| 2025/11/25 |
13.7 |
13.85 |
13.65 |
13.7 |
54 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
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德淵 (4720) 股價走勢分析與操作建議
趨勢判斷與理由…
德淵 (4720) 股價走勢分析與操作建議
趨勢判斷與理由
根據目前所提供的德淵 (4720) 最近 90 天 K 線圖，我們可以觀察到該股票在 2025 年 11 月 25 日的交易時，整體股價呈現承壓下滑的趨勢。從圖表中可見，近期股價持續在 MA5（短期均線）與 MA20（長期均線）下方運行，且兩條均線呈現向下趨勢，顯示短期和長期趨勢皆偏弱。最後幾個交易日的 K 線（紅色代表下跌、綠色代表上漲）多以實體較長或帶有上影線的形態出現，表明市場賣壓較重，股價上攻乏力。成交量柱狀圖顯示，近期成交量並未出現異常放大以支撐明顯的反彈，反而呈現波動整理的格局，整體市場信心似乎仍在觀望。
綜合以上觀察，預計在未來數天至數週內，德淵 (4720) 的股價趨勢將持續偏弱或進入盤整格局，暫時難以看到強勁的反彈動力。
未來目標價格區間
考量到目前股價的弱勢表現以及均線的壓制作用，在沒有出現重大利好消息或市場情緒明顯轉向的情況下，預計德淵 (4720) 未來的股價可能在新台幣 13.5 元至 14.2 元之間波動。此區間是基於圖表中近期股價的低點與均線的壓力位置進行的推估。若股價能有效站穩此區間之上，且均線出現黃金交叉跡象，則有機會向上尋求更高價位。反之，若跌破此區間，則需警惕進一步的下跌風險。
具體操作建議
針對散戶投資人對於「德淵股票可以買嗎」的疑問，基於目前的圖表分析，現階段進行追高買進的風險較高。
1. 不建議積極追價買入：由於股價處於均線下方，整體趨勢偏弱，市場賣壓仍存，此刻追高買入可能面臨短期套牢的風險。
2. 可考慮逢低分批佈局（若有長線投資考量）：若投資人對德淵公司有長期的基本面信心，且願意承受短期波動，則可觀察股價是否能有效支撐在 13.5 元附近。若出現止跌跡象，例如出現長下影線且成交量溫和放大，可以考慮分批小額佈局，並設定嚴格的停損點。
3. 嚴設停損：無論是逢低佈局還是已有持股，都應設定明確的停損點。以目前趨勢來看，若股價有效跌破 13.5 元，建議應當機立斷出場，避免擴大損失。
4. 關注均線與量價變化：密切觀察 MA5 與 MA20 均線的變化，若出現 MA5 向上穿越 MA20 的「黃金交叉」，且伴隨成交量放大，將是較為積極的買進訊號。反之，若股價持續在兩條均線下方盤整或下跌，則應保持謹慎。
5. 關注基本面訊息：技術分析僅為輔助工具，建議投資人仍需關注公司的基本面、產業前景以及整體市場氛圍，以做出更全面的投資決策。
趨勢預測與目標區間重申
總結而言，根據 2025 年 11 月 25 日的 K 線圖顯示，德淵 (4720) 目前處於偏弱的整理格局，預計未來數天至數週股價將延續此趨勢。預計的目標價格區間為新台幣 13.5 元至 14.2 元。散戶投資人應謹慎操作，不建議積極追高，若有長線佈局意願，可待股價出現止跌訊號時考慮分批小額進場，並嚴設停損。
| 指標 |
目前趨勢判斷 |
未來預期 |
目標價格區間 (新台幣) |
| 整體股價趨勢 |
偏弱、承壓下滑 |
持續偏弱或盤整 |
13.5 - 14.2 |
| MA5 與 MA20 |
MA5 在 MA20 下方，兩者皆向下 |
維持向下或緩慢收斂 |
N/A |
| 成交量 |
波動整理，無明顯放大支撐反彈 |
維持現狀或隨股價波動 |
N/A |
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
每週股權分散表分級資料
| 日期 |
100張以下持股比例 |
100~1000張持股比例 |
1000張以上持股比例 |
總股東人數 |
| 2024/09/20 |
28.79% |
19.03% |
52.11% |
7,421 |
| 2024/09/27 |
28.66% |
21.06% |
50.2% |
7,647 |
| 2024/10/04 |
28.53% |
21.2% |
50.19% |
7,594 |
| 2024/10/11 |
29.19% |
19.99% |
50.75% |
7,618 |
| 2024/10/18 |
28.81% |
17.67% |
53.44% |
7,592 |
| 2024/10/25 |
28.62% |
18.56% |
52.74% |
7,570 |
| 2024/11/01 |
28.65% |
18.51% |
52.76% |
7,537 |
| 2024/11/08 |
28.37% |
19.06% |
52.5% |
7,483 |
| 2024/11/15 |
28.54% |
19.01% |
52.37% |
7,437 |
| 2024/11/22 |
28.38% |
19.49% |
52.06% |
7,433 |
| 2024/11/29 |
28.68% |
19.97% |
51.28% |
7,440 |
| 2024/12/06 |
28.67% |
20.32% |
50.96% |
7,433 |
| 2024/12/13 |
28.76% |
21.75% |
49.41% |
7,406 |
| 2024/12/20 |
28.32% |
21.22% |
50.38% |
7,363 |
| 2024/12/27 |
28.44% |
21.06% |
50.42% |
7,322 |
| 2025/01/03 |
28.36% |
21.28% |
50.28% |
7,307 |
| 2025/01/10 |
28.22% |
20.54% |
51.19% |
7,276 |
| 2025/01/17 |
28.58% |
19.78% |
51.57% |
7,299 |
| 2025/01/22 |
28.42% |
19.81% |
51.71% |
7,291 |
| 2025/02/07 |
28.41% |
20.06% |
51.43% |
7,295 |
| 2025/02/14 |
28.95% |
20.27% |
50.7% |
7,362 |
| 2025/02/21 |
29.16% |
19.62% |
51.15% |
7,366 |
| 2025/02/27 |
29.22% |
19.34% |
51.39% |
7,358 |
| 2025/03/07 |
28.79% |
19.27% |
51.86% |
7,342 |
| 2025/03/14 |
29.09% |
20.52% |
50.31% |
7,295 |
| 2025/03/21 |
28.41% |
19.35% |
52.16% |
7,261 |
| 2025/03/28 |
27.67% |
20.62% |
51.64% |
7,215 |
| 2025/04/02 |
28.27% |
19.97% |
51.67% |
7,212 |
| 2025/04/11 |
29.32% |
20.21% |
50.39% |
7,221 |
| 2025/04/18 |
29.49% |
19.94% |
50.49% |
7,233 |
| 2025/04/25 |
29.64% |
19.29% |
51% |
7,233 |
| 2025/05/02 |
29.53% |
18.38% |
52.02% |
7,219 |
| 2025/05/09 |
29.35% |
18.27% |
52.3% |
7,204 |
| 2025/05/16 |
29.45% |
18.02% |
52.45% |
7,217 |
| 2025/05/23 |
29.67% |
17.8% |
52.45% |
7,219 |
| 2025/05/29 |
29.92% |
18.6% |
51.4% |
7,298 |
| 2025/06/06 |
29.89% |
18.35% |
51.67% |
7,292 |
| 2025/06/13 |
29.97% |
18.12% |
51.83% |
7,261 |
| 2025/06/20 |
30.21% |
16.93% |
52.8% |
7,268 |
| 2025/06/27 |
30.08% |
16.98% |
52.87% |
7,270 |
| 2025/07/04 |
30.26% |
17.79% |
51.85% |
7,288 |
| 2025/07/11 |
30.64% |
18.55% |
50.73% |
7,328 |
| 2025/07/18 |
30.55% |
18.58% |
50.8% |
7,331 |
| 2025/07/25 |
30.3% |
18.82% |
50.82% |
7,300 |
| 2025/08/01 |
30.18% |
17.88% |
51.87% |
7,304 |
| 2025/08/08 |
29.94% |
18.04% |
51.95% |
7,267 |
| 2025/08/15 |
30.35% |
17.65% |
51.94% |
7,285 |
| 2025/08/22 |
30.55% |
18.23% |
51.14% |
7,283 |
| 2025/08/29 |
30.18% |
17.6% |
52.16% |
7,254 |
| 2025/09/05 |
30.02% |
19.01% |
50.89% |
7,285 |
| 2025/09/12 |
29.74% |
19.15% |
51.03% |
7,228 |
| 2025/09/19 |
29.65% |
19.29% |
50.98% |
7,212 |
| 2025/09/26 |
29.45% |
18.48% |
51.99% |
7,200 |
| 2025/10/03 |
29.57% |
18.36% |
52.01% |
7,192 |
| 2025/10/09 |
29.51% |
18.36% |
52.04% |
7,163 |
| 2025/10/17 |
29.87% |
18.03% |
52.03% |
7,146 |
| 2025/10/23 |
29.69% |
18.2% |
52.04% |
7,136 |
| 2025/10/31 |
30.44% |
18.42% |
51.07% |
7,176 |
| 2025/11/07 |
30.27% |
18.6% |
51.05% |
7,165 |
| 2025/11/14 |
30.04% |
18.78% |
51.1% |
7,164 |
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