宏達電（2498）股票可以買嗎？K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期： ，每天14:00後更新。
| 開 | 高 | 低 | 收 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6 | 49.35 | 48.6 | 49.1 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
| 日期 | 開盤價 | 最高價 | 最低價 | 收盤價 | 成交量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/06/06 | 37.9 | 38.5 | 37.9 | 38.5 | 1,198 |
| 2025/06/09 | 39.45 | 39.65 | 38.2 | 38.25 | 3,025 |
| 2025/06/10 | 38.65 | 39.05 | 38.3 | 38.45 | 1,813 |
| 2025/06/11 | 38.95 | 39.5 | 38.6 | 39.5 | 2,607 |
| 2025/06/12 | 39.8 | 39.8 | 39.05 | 39.3 | 1,801 |
| 2025/06/13 | 39 | 39.05 | 38.2 | 38.2 | 2,126 |
| 2025/06/16 | 38.35 | 38.8 | 37.85 | 38.8 | 1,355 |
| 2025/06/17 | 39.3 | 41.15 | 39 | 39.3 | 5,876 |
| 2025/06/18 | 39.3 | 40.7 | 39.3 | 40.05 | 4,086 |
| 2025/06/19 | 40.2 | 40.55 | 38.7 | 38.8 | 3,332 |
| 2025/06/20 | 39 | 39.25 | 37.85 | 38.3 | 2,935 |
| 2025/06/23 | 37.8 | 38.2 | 36.95 | 37.95 | 2,685 |
| 2025/06/24 | 38.5 | 40.15 | 38.4 | 39.65 | 3,774 |
| 2025/06/25 | 40 | 40.1 | 39.2 | 39.35 | 2,660 |
| 2025/06/26 | 39.8 | 40.05 | 39 | 39 | 2,531 |
| 2025/06/27 | 39.5 | 39.85 | 39.2 | 39.4 | 2,185 |
| 2025/06/30 | 39.7 | 39.8 | 39 | 39.45 | 2,500 |
| 2025/07/01 | 39.1 | 40.4 | 38.85 | 39.05 | 3,453 |
| 2025/07/02 | 38.9 | 39.1 | 38.4 | 38.4 | 2,568 |
| 2025/07/03 | 38.75 | 39.65 | 38.65 | 39.1 | 1,927 |
| 2025/07/04 | 39.1 | 39.4 | 38.05 | 38.05 | 2,445 |
| 2025/07/07 | 38.15 | 38.25 | 37.25 | 37.65 | 1,897 |
| 2025/07/08 | 37.5 | 37.9 | 37.2 | 37.75 | 2,322 |
| 2025/07/09 | 37.8 | 38 | 37.45 | 37.6 | 1,677 |
| 2025/07/10 | 37.6 | 38.2 | 37.3 | 37.3 | 1,958 |
| 2025/07/11 | 37.5 | 38 | 37.25 | 37.8 | 1,383 |
| 2025/07/14 | 38 | 38 | 37.3 | 37.4 | 1,364 |
| 2025/07/15 | 37.5 | 37.85 | 37.25 | 37.75 | 1,743 |
| 2025/07/16 | 38.1 | 41.5 | 38.1 | 41.5 | 6,097 |
| 2025/07/17 | 42 | 44 | 41.5 | 42.7 | 32,869 |
| 2025/07/18 | 42.5 | 42.9 | 41.6 | 41.8 | 8,090 |
| 2025/07/21 | 41.8 | 42.1 | 40.65 | 41 | 5,461 |
| 2025/07/22 | 41 | 41.25 | 39.05 | 39.1 | 6,227 |
| 2025/07/23 | 39.2 | 40.25 | 39.2 | 39.95 | 3,214 |
| 2025/07/24 | 40.2 | 40.35 | 39.55 | 40.1 | 2,539 |
| 2025/07/25 | 40.1 | 40.35 | 39.8 | 40.05 | 1,720 |
| 2025/07/28 | 40.2 | 40.85 | 39.65 | 40.4 | 2,388 |
| 2025/07/29 | 40.4 | 41.75 | 40.05 | 41 | 5,305 |
| 2025/07/30 | 41.35 | 41.75 | 40.6 | 40.85 | 3,984 |
| 2025/07/31 | 41.2 | 41.35 | 40.35 | 40.35 | 3,228 |
| 2025/08/01 | 39.5 | 41.2 | 39.3 | 40.8 | 3,169 |
| 2025/08/04 | 40.8 | 42.45 | 40.55 | 41.8 | 7,602 |
| 2025/08/05 | 42.3 | 42.55 | 41.5 | 41.5 | 4,278 |
| 2025/08/06 | 41.7 | 42.1 | 41.15 | 41.75 | 2,785 |
| 2025/08/07 | 41.25 | 41.5 | 40.55 | 40.7 | 4,865 |
| 2025/08/08 | 40.9 | 42.35 | 40.85 | 41.25 | 3,914 |
| 2025/08/11 | 41.6 | 43.65 | 40.9 | 42.65 | 6,943 |
| 2025/08/12 | 43.05 | 44.25 | 42.5 | 43.25 | 8,513 |
| 2025/08/13 | 43.95 | 46 | 42.45 | 42.65 | 17,089 |
| 2025/08/14 | 43.9 | 45.5 | 42.7 | 42.7 | 16,845 |
| 2025/08/15 | 45.85 | 46.95 | 45.6 | 46.95 | 7,793 |
| 2025/08/18 | 51.4 | 51.6 | 49.9 | 51.6 | 6,705 |
| 2025/08/19 | 55 | 56.7 | 53.5 | 56.7 | 56,750 |
| 2025/08/20 | 56.4 | 59.4 | 54.4 | 54.6 | 86,558 |
| 2025/08/21 | 56.2 | 60 | 56.1 | 60 | 40,892 |
| 2025/08/22 | 62.5 | 64.1 | 60.4 | 61 | 77,745 |
| 2025/08/25 | 63.8 | 64.4 | 59.2 | 60 | 52,384 |
| 2025/08/26 | 60 | 60.1 | 57.4 | 58.9 | 30,819 |
| 2025/08/27 | 60.6 | 64.7 | 58.8 | 64.7 | 54,265 |
| 2025/08/28 | 67 | 68.6 | 64.4 | 66.5 | 94,461 |
| 2025/08/29 | 67.1 | 72.8 | 66.3 | 70.4 | 80,435 |
| 2025/09/01 | 72 | 76.9 | 71.1 | 72.9 | 94,138 |
| 2025/09/02 | 75 | 76.4 | 70 | 70.6 | 98,275 |
| 2025/09/03 | 71.4 | 76 | 69.9 | 74.5 | 73,333 |
| 2025/09/04 | 76.4 | 76.7 | 71.8 | 72 | 64,259 |
| 2025/09/05 | 72.7 | 74.6 | 72.2 | 72.7 | 40,773 |
| 2025/09/08 | 73.6 | 74.2 | 70 | 70.2 | 45,432 |
| 2025/09/09 | 70.8 | 71 | 66.8 | 67.4 | 45,408 |
| 2025/09/10 | 68.4 | 69.2 | 67.3 | 67.5 | 33,455 |
| 2025/09/11 | 67.8 | 71.5 | 66.1 | 66.8 | 48,323 |
| 2025/09/12 | 67.5 | 67.8 | 65.9 | 66.5 | 23,492 |
| 2025/09/15 | 66.9 | 66.9 | 63 | 63.1 | 26,826 |
| 2025/09/16 | 63.9 | 66.3 | 63 | 66.2 | 27,336 |
| 2025/09/17 | 65.6 | 69 | 65.1 | 68.8 | 38,997 |
| 2025/09/18 | 69 | 71.9 | 68.1 | 69.5 | 52,107 |
| 2025/09/19 | 69.7 | 70.5 | 67.6 | 68.3 | 26,461 |
| 2025/09/22 | 67.3 | 67.3 | 64.6 | 64.6 | 26,831 |
| 2025/09/23 | 65.2 | 66 | 64.4 | 64.6 | 16,714 |
| 2025/09/24 | 64.7 | 65.1 | 63.1 | 63.5 | 15,995 |
| 2025/09/25 | 63.8 | 64.1 | 61 | 61.1 | 23,374 |
| 2025/09/26 | 61.2 | 61.4 | 59.1 | 59.4 | 15,945 |
| 2025/09/30 | 60.6 | 61 | 59.2 | 59.6 | 10,856 |
| 2025/10/01 | 59.8 | 61.2 | 59.3 | 60 | 9,918 |
| 2025/10/02 | 61.2 | 62.8 | 60.5 | 61 | 18,967 |
| 2025/10/03 | 61.2 | 62.7 | 60.7 | 62.5 | 13,401 |
| 2025/10/07 | 62.6 | 63.2 | 61.4 | 62.2 | 11,126 |
| 2025/10/08 | 60.5 | 60.6 | 56.9 | 57 | 26,018 |
| 2025/10/09 | 57 | 57.4 | 55.5 | 55.6 | 14,477 |
| 2025/10/13 | 52 | 54.6 | 51.8 | 54.6 | 10,263 |
| 2025/10/14 | 54.9 | 55.2 | 51.7 | 52 | 14,302 |
| 2025/10/15 | 52.8 | 53.6 | 52.1 | 53.6 | 8,092 |
| 2025/10/16 | 53.5 | 54.4 | 52.8 | 52.9 | 7,355 |
| 2025/10/17 | 52.7 | 52.7 | 51 | 51.6 | 8,995 |
| 2025/10/20 | 51.7 | 52.5 | 51.1 | 52 | 6,072 |
| 2025/10/21 | 52.2 | 53.7 | 52.2 | 52.7 | 7,250 |
| 2025/10/22 | 53 | 53.5 | 52.3 | 52.6 | 4,682 |
| 2025/10/23 | 52.1 | 52.4 | 51.5 | 51.5 | 4,683 |
| 2025/10/27 | 52.2 | 52.7 | 51.8 | 52.2 | 4,463 |
| 2025/10/28 | 52.4 | 52.7 | 51.2 | 52.3 | 5,685 |
| 2025/10/29 | 52.4 | 52.9 | 51.3 | 51.3 | 5,686 |
| 2025/10/30 | 51.3 | 51.8 | 50.1 | 50.4 | 6,428 |
| 2025/10/31 | 50.7 | 51.4 | 50.4 | 50.5 | 4,087 |
| 2025/11/03 | 50.5 | 52.4 | 50.5 | 51.7 | 5,930 |
| 2025/11/04 | 51.6 | 51.8 | 49.6 | 49.7 | 6,850 |
| 2025/11/05 | 48.8 | 50.5 | 48.7 | 50.3 | 5,877 |
| 2025/11/06 | 50.3 | 50.9 | 49.65 | 50.7 | 5,018 |
| 2025/11/07 | 48.3 | 48.7 | 47.3 | 47.5 | 11,338 |
| 2025/11/10 | 47.6 | 47.95 | 46.8 | 47.3 | 5,604 |
| 2025/11/11 | 47.5 | 48.25 | 47 | 47 | 4,831 |
| 2025/11/12 | 50.3 | 51.7 | 50.2 | 51.7 | 3,127 |
| 2025/11/13 | 55 | 55 | 50.3 | 50.8 | 26,715 |
| 2025/11/14 | 50.3 | 52.2 | 49.9 | 50.8 | 9,457 |
| 2025/11/17 | 51 | 53.2 | 50.5 | 51.3 | 9,098 |
| 2025/11/18 | 51 | 51.1 | 47.95 | 48.85 | 9,032 |
| 2025/11/19 | 49.2 | 50.3 | 48.2 | 49.05 | 7,005 |
| 2025/11/20 | 49.95 | 50.2 | 48.7 | 48.7 | 6,149 |
| 2025/11/21 | 48 | 48.7 | 47.25 | 47.8 | 5,211 |
| 2025/11/24 | 47.9 | 48.1 | 47.3 | 47.65 | 4,352 |
| 2025/11/25 | 48.15 | 48.8 | 47.9 | 48.35 | 3,700 |
| 2025/11/26 | 48.6 | 49.35 | 48.6 | 49.1 | 3,735 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
以下內容由AI生成：
點擊查看。AI建議自動產生於：，輸入：市場模型。 宏達電 (2498) 股價走勢分析與操作建議 趨勢判斷與理…
宏達電 (2498) 股價走勢分析與操作建議
趨勢判斷與理由
綜合近期 (2025-11-25) 的技術指標與股價表現，宏達電 (2498) 的股價在未來數天或數週內，預計將以盤整為主，並有機會緩慢上漲。
此判斷的理由如下：
- 股價觸及 MA5 與 MA20 附近：從圖表中可見，近期的股價已非常接近 5 日移動平均線 (MA5) 與 20 日移動平均線 (MA20)。通常情況下，當股價在移動平均線附近徘徊時，表示短期動能趨緩，可能進入盤整階段。
- MA5 與 MA20 糾纏：MA5 與 MA20 這兩條線在近期呈現糾纏狀態，意味著多空力量在該價位區間較為接近，市場正在尋找新的方向。
- 成交量相對溫和：觀察成交量柱狀圖，近期成交量並未出現異常放大或萎縮的情況。這顯示市場參與者對於當前價位尚無明顯的追價或殺盤意願，較為謹慎。
- 過去的支撐區：回顧圖表，股價在 2025 年 7 月下旬至 8 月上旬曾在此價位附近進行過一段時間的橫盤整理，該區域可視為一個潛在的支撐區域。
- 短期止跌跡象：雖然股價在 10 月份經歷了一波下跌，但進入 11 月份後，下跌的趨勢似乎有所趨緩，並在相對低的價位出現了反覆的探底與小幅反彈。
然而，必須注意的是，若股價未能有效突破 MA5 與 MA20 的糾纏區，且成交量未明顯放大，則股價仍有回測下方支撐的風險。但從整體結構來看，目前處於一個相對穩定的階段，且有築底的跡象。
未來目標價格區間
基於上述分析，預計宏達電 (2498) 在未來數天至數週內的目標價格區間約為 48 元至 53 元。
此區間的設定考量如下：
- 支撐位：近期股價在 48 元附近獲得了較為明顯的支撐。
- 盤整區間：如前所述，該價位是近期股價徘徊的區域，也曾是過去的支撐位。
- MA20 壓力：MA20 目前約在 50 元附近，是短期的關鍵壓力點。若能有效突破並站穩，則有機會向上挑戰。
- 前波高點：股價在 2025 年 9 月下旬曾觸及 70 元以上，但目前處於明顯的修正階段，短期內大幅反彈至前波高點的可能性較低。因此，設定一個較為保守的盤整或緩慢上漲的目標區間。
操作建議 (針對散戶投資人)
對於「宏達電 (2498) 可以買嗎」的疑問，我的建議是：可以考慮少量分批佈局，但須嚴設停損。
具體操作建議如下：
- 分批買入：鑑於目前股價處於盤整且有築底跡象，不建議一次性大量買入。可以考慮將資金分為 2-3 批，在股價回測至 48 元附近或在確認突破 MA20 且量能配合時再逐步加碼。
- 嚴設停損：這是最重要的一點。由於市場充滿不確定性，若股價跌破 47 元，且成交量放大，則意味著多方力量可能減弱，建議果斷停損出場，避免進一步損失。
- 觀察成交量：在買入後，需密切觀察成交量的變化。若股價上漲伴隨著成交量溫和放大，則上升動能較為健康；若股價上漲但成交量未能有效放大，則需提高警惕。
- 耐心持有：若股價能成功站穩 50 元以上，並持續向上挑戰，建議可以耐心持有，但需留意 53 元附近的壓力。
- 避開追高：若股價已經快速上漲至 53 元以上，則不建議追高，應等待回檔或盤整的機會。
總結來說，宏達電 (2498) 目前處於一個相對低檔的盤整階段，有反彈的潛力，但風險依然存在。散戶投資人應採取謹慎的態度，分批佈局，並嚴格執行停損策略，以降低風險並把握可能的獲利機會。
趨勢預測與目標區間重申
重申對於宏達電 (2498) 未來的趨勢預測：未來數天或數週內，股價預計將以盤整為主，並有機會緩慢上漲。
未來目標價格區間約為 48 元至 53 元。
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
| 日期 | 100張以下持股比例 | 100~1000張持股比例 | 1000張以上持股比例 | 總股東人數 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/09/20 | 49.9% | 14.79% | 35.23% | 154,040 |
| 2024/09/27 | 49.89% | 14.69% | 35.35% | 153,836 |
| 2024/10/04 | 47.82% | 14.31% | 37.78% | 150,854 |
| 2024/10/11 | 48.66% | 14.86% | 36.42% | 152,685 |
| 2024/10/18 | 48.78% | 14.81% | 36.31% | 152,918 |
| 2024/10/25 | 49.24% | 14.73% | 35.97% | 153,210 |
| 2024/11/01 | 49.44% | 14.69% | 35.76% | 153,399 |
| 2024/11/08 | 49.39% | 14.86% | 35.69% | 153,317 |
| 2024/11/15 | 49.54% | 14.9% | 35.48% | 153,364 |
| 2024/11/22 | 49.34% | 14.73% | 35.84% | 153,045 |
| 2024/11/29 | 49.06% | 14.92% | 35.93% | 152,462 |
| 2024/12/06 | 49.11% | 15.05% | 35.76% | 152,386 |
| 2024/12/13 | 49.16% | 15.68% | 35.07% | 152,602 |
| 2024/12/20 | 49.33% | 15.64% | 34.96% | 152,711 |
| 2024/12/27 | 48.15% | 15.49% | 36.27% | 150,697 |
| 2025/01/03 | 47.21% | 14.76% | 37.94% | 150,012 |
| 2025/01/10 | 49.01% | 14.73% | 36.19% | 154,139 |
| 2025/01/17 | 48.31% | 14.78% | 36.83% | 152,427 |
| 2025/01/22 | 44.51% | 14.39% | 41.04% | 147,756 |
| 2025/02/07 | 46.58% | 13.88% | 39.48% | 152,265 |
| 2025/02/14 | 46.93% | 13.99% | 39.01% | 152,755 |
| 2025/02/21 | 47.17% | 14.47% | 38.28% | 153,545 |
| 2025/02/27 | 47.26% | 14.18% | 38.48% | 153,860 |
| 2025/03/07 | 47.52% | 13.78% | 38.63% | 154,390 |
| 2025/03/14 | 47.34% | 13.85% | 38.73% | 154,221 |
| 2025/03/21 | 46.96% | 14.38% | 38.57% | 154,016 |
| 2025/03/28 | 47.21% | 14.38% | 38.33% | 154,438 |
| 2025/04/02 | 47.22% | 14.67% | 38.03% | 154,537 |
| 2025/04/11 | 47.48% | 14.4% | 38.07% | 154,685 |
| 2025/04/18 | 47.29% | 14.15% | 38.5% | 155,939 |
| 2025/04/25 | 47.32% | 14.67% | 37.94% | 155,582 |
| 2025/05/02 | 47.22% | 14.92% | 37.8% | 155,410 |
| 2025/05/09 | 47.37% | 14.89% | 37.66% | 155,275 |
| 2025/05/16 | 47.54% | 15.28% | 37.11% | 155,755 |
| 2025/05/23 | 47.45% | 15.13% | 37.35% | 155,555 |
| 2025/05/29 | 47.85% | 15.2% | 36.88% | 155,895 |
| 2025/06/06 | 48.08% | 15.14% | 36.7% | 156,008 |
| 2025/06/13 | 48.12% | 15.2% | 36.6% | 155,860 |
| 2025/06/20 | 48.14% | 15.02% | 36.76% | 155,731 |
| 2025/06/27 | 47.96% | 15.2% | 36.76% | 155,420 |
| 2025/07/04 | 48.16% | 14.94% | 36.83% | 155,522 |
| 2025/07/11 | 48.42% | 15.25% | 36.26% | 155,745 |
| 2025/07/18 | 48.28% | 15.18% | 36.47% | 156,103 |
| 2025/07/25 | 48.43% | 15.04% | 36.46% | 155,821 |
| 2025/08/01 | 48.19% | 15% | 36.71% | 155,481 |
| 2025/08/08 | 48.24% | 15.19% | 36.49% | 155,302 |
| 2025/08/15 | 48.2% | 15.36% | 36.37% | 154,810 |
| 2025/08/22 | 47.72% | 15.34% | 36.9% | 159,696 |
| 2025/08/29 | 50.76% | 14.7% | 34.46% | 169,022 |
| 2025/09/05 | 50.8% | 14.18% | 34.92% | 171,997 |
| 2025/09/12 | 51.26% | 13.97% | 34.69% | 171,885 |
| 2025/09/19 | 50.67% | 14.44% | 34.83% | 171,298 |
| 2025/09/26 | 50.95% | 14.5% | 34.47% | 170,209 |
| 2025/10/03 | 51.3% | 14.65% | 33.98% | 170,225 |
| 2025/10/09 | 51.59% | 14.56% | 33.77% | 170,194 |
| 2025/10/17 | 50.74% | 14.45% | 34.74% | 167,933 |
| 2025/10/23 | 50.6% | 14.52% | 34.82% | 167,236 |
| 2025/10/31 | 50.24% | 14.36% | 35.34% | 165,904 |
| 2025/11/07 | 50.07% | 13.97% | 35.88% | 165,196 |
| 2025/11/14 | 50.92% | 14.12% | 34.88% | 166,773 |
ANONYMOUS在2025/11/08 16:40
#2498
ANONYMOUS在2025/10/13 11:04
#2498
ANONYMOUS在2025/09/07 11:01
#2498
ANONYMOUS在2025/08/30 23:46
#2498
ANONYMOUS在2024/05/06 19:27
#2498
破產~20年努力歸零!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
ANONYMOUS在2022/12/08 18:28
#2498
股市總司令的
ANONYMOUS在2022/07/12 21:40
#2498
嘎尾部知道跑了沒!明天買幾張
ANONYMOUS在2022/06/14 20:31
#2498
夠低了 水拉主力!我就買50張參考!!
ANONYMOUS在2020/09/14 17:04
#2498
阿尾應該是還是有，整天叫人存這支存股
ANONYMOUS在2019/12/17 04:01
#2498
這檔阿偉有買過ㄟ.,只是不知道出了沒,今天漲停,明天買一張
ANONYMOUS在2019/11/22 04:13
#2498
大戶與巨戶幾乎同向
ANONYMOUS在2019/05/25 02:57
#2498
不知道為什麼 看到這支就想空他
ANONYMOUS在2019/05/15 07:14
#2498
給錯啦.給五分
ANONYMOUS在2019/05/15 07:13
#2498
還有300塊的兩張.快攤平了 希望今年配三十.紅姊!拜託了!
ANONYMOUS在2019/05/14 18:36
#2498
我有個疑問.為啥總股東跟大戶永遠都不同向
ANONYMOUS在2019/05/09 16:34
#2498
散戶超多的