鴻準（2354）股票可以買嗎？K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期： ，每天14:00後更新。
| 開 | 高 | 低 | 收 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67.5 | 68.1 | 66.8 | 66.8 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
| 日期 | 開盤價 | 最高價 | 最低價 | 收盤價 | 成交量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/05/26 | 59 | 60.2 | 59 | 59.8 | 2,866 |
| 2025/05/27 | 61 | 61.4 | 60 | 60.1 | 8,714 |
| 2025/05/28 | 60.9 | 60.9 | 59.2 | 59.5 | 5,396 |
| 2025/05/29 | 60.1 | 60.9 | 59.8 | 60.6 | 4,533 |
| 2025/06/02 | 59.9 | 60.2 | 57.8 | 58 | 7,002 |
| 2025/06/03 | 58.3 | 58.7 | 57.5 | 57.6 | 3,636 |
| 2025/06/04 | 58.4 | 59.8 | 58.3 | 59.6 | 4,851 |
| 2025/06/05 | 60 | 60.8 | 59.6 | 60.3 | 5,033 |
| 2025/06/06 | 62 | 63.6 | 61.5 | 61.7 | 24,220 |
| 2025/06/09 | 62.2 | 62.2 | 61 | 61 | 8,313 |
| 2025/06/10 | 61.3 | 62.1 | 61.2 | 62 | 6,368 |
| 2025/06/11 | 62.5 | 62.9 | 62.1 | 62.8 | 6,465 |
| 2025/06/12 | 63 | 65.5 | 62.7 | 65 | 19,181 |
| 2025/06/13 | 64.3 | 65.3 | 63.7 | 64.3 | 11,500 |
| 2025/06/16 | 63.9 | 64.7 | 63.6 | 64.4 | 5,459 |
| 2025/06/17 | 64.6 | 64.9 | 63.4 | 63.6 | 6,549 |
| 2025/06/18 | 63.2 | 64.2 | 63.1 | 63.5 | 4,170 |
| 2025/06/19 | 63.8 | 64 | 62.4 | 62.5 | 5,033 |
| 2025/06/20 | 62.4 | 63.2 | 61.5 | 62.7 | 5,331 |
| 2025/06/23 | 61.3 | 62.6 | 61 | 62.6 | 4,019 |
| 2025/06/24 | 63.8 | 64.8 | 63.2 | 64.6 | 5,904 |
| 2025/06/25 | 65.2 | 65.5 | 64.2 | 64.7 | 5,280 |
| 2025/06/26 | 65 | 65.7 | 64.5 | 64.5 | 4,830 |
| 2025/06/27 | 65.1 | 65.2 | 64.5 | 64.6 | 4,115 |
| 2025/06/30 | 64.7 | 64.9 | 63.5 | 63.5 | 4,251 |
| 2025/07/01 | 63.7 | 65.4 | 63.6 | 65 | 6,254 |
| 2025/07/02 | 64 | 64.3 | 63.4 | 63.4 | 5,511 |
| 2025/07/03 | 64 | 64.6 | 63.9 | 64.5 | 3,829 |
| 2025/07/04 | 64.5 | 64.6 | 63 | 63.1 | 4,306 |
| 2025/07/07 | 63.1 | 63.6 | 62.3 | 63 | 3,747 |
| 2025/07/08 | 62.8 | 64.3 | 62.4 | 63.8 | 5,159 |
| 2025/07/09 | 64 | 64.4 | 63.6 | 63.9 | 3,481 |
| 2025/07/10 | 64.1 | 64.3 | 63.5 | 63.7 | 2,975 |
| 2025/07/11 | 64 | 65.2 | 64 | 64.3 | 5,672 |
| 2025/07/14 | 64.5 | 64.6 | 63.2 | 63.2 | 3,596 |
| 2025/07/15 | 63 | 64 | 63 | 63.9 | 2,827 |
| 2025/07/16 | 63.9 | 64.6 | 63.6 | 63.6 | 4,096 |
| 2025/07/17 | 64 | 65.1 | 64 | 64.6 | 5,180 |
| 2025/07/18 | 65 | 67.8 | 64.6 | 65.4 | 16,674 |
| 2025/07/21 | 65.4 | 65.9 | 64.4 | 64.4 | 6,128 |
| 2025/07/22 | 64.5 | 64.5 | 62.4 | 62.4 | 7,784 |
| 2025/07/23 | 63 | 63.8 | 62.6 | 63.4 | 4,285 |
| 2025/07/24 | 63.8 | 64.8 | 63.7 | 64.6 | 6,073 |
| 2025/07/25 | 65.2 | 65.9 | 64.5 | 64.6 | 7,356 |
| 2025/07/28 | 65 | 65.4 | 64.4 | 64.6 | 4,326 |
| 2025/07/29 | 64.7 | 65 | 63.5 | 63.8 | 4,077 |
| 2025/07/30 | 64.4 | 64.8 | 63.5 | 64.7 | 3,529 |
| 2025/07/31 | 64.7 | 65.5 | 64.5 | 64.9 | 5,170 |
| 2025/08/01 | 63.9 | 66.6 | 63.1 | 66.1 | 9,330 |
| 2025/08/04 | 65.1 | 66.4 | 64.3 | 66.1 | 7,099 |
| 2025/08/05 | 67 | 72.5 | 66.9 | 70.1 | 35,764 |
| 2025/08/06 | 71 | 72.1 | 69.2 | 69.6 | 38,672 |
| 2025/08/07 | 70.3 | 71.7 | 69 | 69.2 | 18,527 |
| 2025/08/08 | 69.6 | 70.2 | 68.2 | 69.4 | 13,183 |
| 2025/08/11 | 74.1 | 76.3 | 73.3 | 76.3 | 39,243 |
| 2025/08/12 | 77.2 | 77.7 | 71.6 | 71.7 | 82,369 |
| 2025/08/13 | 71.9 | 72.4 | 69.5 | 70.2 | 33,344 |
| 2025/08/14 | 70.3 | 72.2 | 69.7 | 71.9 | 22,128 |
| 2025/08/15 | 73.1 | 74 | 71.7 | 71.8 | 28,885 |
| 2025/08/18 | 72.1 | 74 | 71.7 | 72.8 | 22,980 |
| 2025/08/19 | 73.8 | 74.2 | 71.5 | 71.6 | 25,583 |
| 2025/08/20 | 70.9 | 71.1 | 69 | 69.2 | 17,091 |
| 2025/08/21 | 69.8 | 71.2 | 69.4 | 70 | 12,875 |
| 2025/08/22 | 70.3 | 71.2 | 69.3 | 69.3 | 9,602 |
| 2025/08/25 | 70.8 | 74.7 | 70.6 | 73 | 29,958 |
| 2025/08/26 | 73.5 | 73.6 | 72.5 | 72.8 | 18,126 |
| 2025/08/27 | 73.3 | 73.4 | 71.7 | 71.8 | 15,300 |
| 2025/08/28 | 71.9 | 72.7 | 71 | 71.7 | 8,635 |
| 2025/08/29 | 72.7 | 73 | 71.1 | 71.1 | 8,915 |
| 2025/09/01 | 71.3 | 71.3 | 69 | 69.2 | 10,164 |
| 2025/09/02 | 69.7 | 70.2 | 66.5 | 67.7 | 11,819 |
| 2025/09/03 | 67.7 | 69.8 | 67.1 | 69.4 | 9,402 |
| 2025/09/04 | 71 | 73 | 69.4 | 69.7 | 16,514 |
| 2025/09/05 | 70.3 | 70.6 | 68.5 | 68.7 | 12,110 |
| 2025/09/08 | 69 | 69.5 | 67.9 | 68.6 | 7,678 |
| 2025/09/09 | 69 | 69.9 | 68.6 | 69.5 | 6,368 |
| 2025/09/10 | 70 | 72.8 | 69.6 | 71.8 | 21,411 |
| 2025/09/11 | 72.6 | 72.7 | 70.6 | 70.8 | 19,481 |
| 2025/09/12 | 71.5 | 72.3 | 70.9 | 71.4 | 9,930 |
| 2025/09/15 | 72 | 72.4 | 70.2 | 70.8 | 14,528 |
| 2025/09/16 | 70.9 | 70.9 | 69.6 | 70 | 8,119 |
| 2025/09/17 | 69.8 | 70.4 | 68.7 | 68.8 | 7,191 |
| 2025/09/18 | 69.2 | 70.1 | 68.4 | 70.1 | 6,907 |
| 2025/09/19 | 70.4 | 70.5 | 69.7 | 69.9 | 5,616 |
| 2025/09/22 | 70.5 | 71.6 | 70.2 | 70.6 | 5,440 |
| 2025/09/23 | 71.3 | 71.9 | 70.7 | 70.7 | 7,966 |
| 2025/09/24 | 71 | 71.5 | 68.8 | 69.7 | 9,787 |
| 2025/09/25 | 70.2 | 72.7 | 70 | 71.9 | 19,720 |
| 2025/09/26 | 71 | 72.1 | 68.6 | 70.1 | 27,333 |
| 2025/09/30 | 70.5 | 71.1 | 70.2 | 70.3 | 8,549 |
| 2025/10/01 | 70.6 | 71.4 | 70 | 70.1 | 8,579 |
| 2025/10/02 | 70.9 | 71.3 | 70.3 | 71 | 7,808 |
| 2025/10/03 | 71 | 71.3 | 70.4 | 70.6 | 6,575 |
| 2025/10/07 | 71.1 | 72.2 | 70.9 | 71.1 | 7,488 |
| 2025/10/08 | 70.9 | 70.9 | 69.8 | 70.1 | 8,775 |
| 2025/10/09 | 70.4 | 70.4 | 69.5 | 69.5 | 8,031 |
| 2025/10/13 | 66.1 | 67.7 | 65.6 | 67.6 | 11,316 |
| 2025/10/14 | 68 | 68.4 | 65.1 | 65.3 | 14,485 |
| 2025/10/15 | 65.7 | 66 | 64.6 | 64.7 | 9,803 |
| 2025/10/16 | 65.6 | 67.5 | 65.6 | 66.9 | 9,052 |
| 2025/10/17 | 66.8 | 67.5 | 66.2 | 66.8 | 5,474 |
| 2025/10/20 | 67.8 | 69.4 | 67.7 | 68.7 | 8,716 |
| 2025/10/21 | 69.1 | 69.7 | 68.6 | 68.9 | 7,757 |
| 2025/10/22 | 68.9 | 69.7 | 68.3 | 69.5 | 5,487 |
| 2025/10/23 | 69.1 | 69.2 | 68.5 | 69.1 | 4,223 |
| 2025/10/27 | 70.1 | 70.5 | 69.3 | 69.7 | 5,738 |
| 2025/10/28 | 70.3 | 71.5 | 70.2 | 70.8 | 10,726 |
| 2025/10/29 | 71.5 | 74.6 | 71.5 | 73.2 | 31,885 |
| 2025/10/30 | 74 | 75.4 | 71.4 | 72.2 | 53,056 |
| 2025/10/31 | 72.6 | 72.7 | 70.9 | 71.5 | 19,988 |
| 2025/11/03 | 71.3 | 71.7 | 70.3 | 70.9 | 7,779 |
| 2025/11/04 | 70.9 | 71.4 | 69 | 69 | 8,690 |
| 2025/11/05 | 67.4 | 68.5 | 66.6 | 68.4 | 9,316 |
| 2025/11/06 | 70.1 | 70.9 | 69.5 | 70.1 | 6,232 |
| 2025/11/07 | 69.9 | 70.8 | 69.2 | 69.2 | 9,885 |
| 2025/11/10 | 69.7 | 70 | 69 | 69.9 | 5,763 |
| 2025/11/11 | 70.2 | 72.3 | 70.2 | 70.7 | 9,539 |
| 2025/11/12 | 71 | 72.2 | 70.4 | 70.9 | 9,461 |
| 2025/11/13 | 70.9 | 71.1 | 68.4 | 68.7 | 24,054 |
| 2025/11/14 | 67.5 | 68.1 | 66.8 | 66.8 | 10,971 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
以下內容由AI生成：
點擊查看。AI建議自動產生於：，輸入：市場模型。 鴻準 (2354) 股價走勢分析與操作建議 根據所提供的鴻…
鴻準 (2354) 股價走勢分析與操作建議
根據所提供的鴻準 (2354) 近 90 天 K 線圖，預計未來數天至數週內，股價將呈現盤整偏強的走勢，並有機會逐步挑戰近期高點。此判斷主要基於以下觀察：
- 近期股價表現： 檢視圖表，近期（約 2025-11-05 至 2025-11-14）鴻準股價在 MA5（5 日移動平均線）與 MA20（20 日移動平均線）之間震盪，顯示多空力量相對均衡。然而，MA5 呈現緩步向上趨勢，且近期股價多次於 MA20 附近獲得支撐後反彈，顯示下方支撐力道尚存。
- 移動平均線狀態： MA5 呈現緩步上揚，且在 2025-11-14 的交易日，股價收盤價（綠色 K 線）已收復 MA5，並開始向上貼近 MA20。這是股價可能轉強的跡象。
- 成交量變化： 在近期股價反彈的過程中，成交量柱狀圖顯示並無異常的放大或縮小，維持在一個相對穩定的區間。這代表著市場並未出現恐慌性的賣壓，也沒有追價的急迫性，為穩定的向上盤升奠定基礎。
- 價量關係： 過去幾次股價從低檔反彈時，成交量有溫和放大，而下跌時成交量並未明顯跟隨放大，這暗示逢低承接的意願仍在。
未來目標價格區間預測
基於上述分析，考量到股價目前處於 MA5 與 MA20 糾結區間，且 MA5 呈向上趨勢，預計短期內股價將有機會突破 MA20 的壓力。若能站穩 MA20，則可望朝向近期高點（約 75 元附近）發起挑戰。因此，預期未來數天至數週的目標價格區間可能落在 69 元至 75 元之間。若有更強勁的買盤挹注，且整體市場氣氛有利，不排除挑戰此區間的較高位置。
詳細圖表分析
從 2025 年 5 月 26 日至 2025 年 11 月 14 日的 K 線圖，鴻準的股價走勢可大致劃分為幾個階段：
鴻準 (2354) 近 90 天 K 線圖關鍵指標分析 階段 時間範圍 主要價格區間 (約) 移動平均線 (MA5/MA20) 狀態 成交量特點 股價趨勢觀察 初期盤整與上漲 2025-05-26 至 2025-06-16 57.5 - 63 元 MA5 向上穿越 MA20，形成黃金交叉，且股價位於兩條均線之上 成交量逐步放大，顯示買盤進場意願增強 呈現明顯的上漲趨勢 中期高位盤整 2025-06-16 至 2025-08-04 62 - 67 元 MA5 與 MA20 糾纏，股價於兩條均線附近震盪 成交量相對平穩，偶有波動，但無持續放大現象 呈現箱型整理或緩步盤升格局 強勁拉升後拉回 2025-08-04 至 2025-08-22 67 - 77.5 元 MA5 快速上揚，股價一度突破 MA20 向上，之後回落 成交量在此階段顯著放大，尤其在 2025-08-04 附近，出現長紅 K 線，顯示有較大資金介入。之後出現長上影線，顯示有賣壓。 經歷一波快速拉升後，股價進入修正階段，並出現明顯賣壓 近期震盪整理 2025-08-22 至 2025-11-14 65 - 73 元 MA5 與 MA20 呈現糾纏狀態，MA20 趨於平緩，MA5 則時而上彎時而下彎。近期 (2025-11-05 起) MA5 有向上趨勢，並朝向 MA20 靠攏。 成交量較前期明顯縮小，顯示市場觀望氣氛濃厚，或市場參與者對後續走勢猶豫。但近期股價企穩反彈時，成交量並未萎縮至極低水準。 股價在一個相對較大的區間內震盪，尋找新的方向。近期出現止跌跡象，並有向上反彈的動能。 值得注意的是，在 2025-10-27 之後，股價出現一波下跌，跌破了 MA5 與 MA20，最低觸及約 66 元。然而，隨後的交易日（2025-11-05 及之後），股價快速反彈，且 MA5 開始向上彎曲，並在 2025-11-14 收盤價重新站上 MA5，為後續走勢增添了積極信號。
操作建議：「XX股票可以買嗎」
對於鴻準 (2354) 這檔股票，針對散戶投資人，筆者認為可以「謹慎分批佈局」。
- 買入時機：
- 逢低承接： 考慮在股價回測至 MA20 (目前約 69-70 元附近) 且獲得支撐時進行分批買入。
- 突破加碼： 若股價能有效站穩 MA20，並向上突破近期整理區間的上緣 (約 73-74 元)，且伴隨成交量溫和放大，則可考慮適度加碼。
- 賣出時機：
- 設定停損： 若股價跌破 MA20 (約 69-70 元) 且持續向下，應考慮嚴格執行停損，避免損失擴大。
- 達成目標： 若股價觸及目標價格區間的 75 元附近，可考慮部分獲利了結。
- 趨勢反轉： 若 MA5 再次下彎並跌破 MA20，且成交量放大，則需警惕趨勢可能反轉，應重新評估持股。
- 資金控管： 散戶投資人應嚴格遵守資金控管原則，投入自己可承受風險的資金，並避免過度槓桿操作。
- 趨勢判斷： 雖然目前看來有盤整偏強的跡象，但市場瞬息萬變，建議持續關注後續的股價動態、成交量變化以及整體市場氛圍。
總結而言，對於鴻準 (2354)，在 2025-11-16 之後的數天至數週，預計股價將呈現盤整偏強的走勢，目標價格區間暫定為 69 元至 75 元。散戶投資人可考慮在股價回測支撐時進行分批佈局，並嚴格執行停損策略，以應對潛在的市場波動。
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
| 日期 | 100張以下持股比例 | 100~1000張持股比例 | 1000張以上持股比例 | 總股東人數 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/09/20 | 43.15% | 7.24% | 49.54% | 185,239 |
| 2024/09/27 | 43.14% | 7.09% | 49.69% | 185,573 |
| 2024/10/04 | 43.13% | 7.25% | 49.55% | 185,220 |
| 2024/10/11 | 43.18% | 7.51% | 49.25% | 184,975 |
| 2024/10/18 | 43.11% | 7.37% | 49.44% | 184,327 |
| 2024/10/25 | 39.82% | 7.28% | 52.81% | 173,626 |
| 2024/11/01 | 31.62% | 7.8% | 60.52% | 144,040 |
| 2024/11/08 | 28.96% | 7.27% | 63.71% | 137,677 |
| 2024/11/15 | 30.82% | 6.97% | 62.14% | 150,400 |
| 2024/11/22 | 34.11% | 6.83% | 58.99% | 166,960 |
| 2024/11/29 | 34.62% | 6.67% | 58.63% | 169,689 |
| 2024/12/06 | 33.51% | 7.32% | 59.11% | 165,442 |
| 2024/12/13 | 36.07% | 7.38% | 56.48% | 176,880 |
| 2024/12/20 | 37.32% | 6.78% | 55.8% | 180,419 |
| 2024/12/27 | 37.9% | 6.81% | 55.24% | 182,138 |
| 2025/01/03 | 38.25% | 6.76% | 54.93% | 182,806 |
| 2025/01/10 | 39.11% | 6.67% | 54.14% | 186,160 |
| 2025/01/17 | 39.06% | 6.79% | 54.06% | 186,054 |
| 2025/01/22 | 38.75% | 6.86% | 54.34% | 184,669 |
| 2025/02/07 | 39.01% | 7.05% | 53.86% | 185,148 |
| 2025/02/14 | 38.86% | 6.87% | 54.2% | 184,714 |
| 2025/02/21 | 39.21% | 6.77% | 53.92% | 186,275 |
| 2025/02/27 | 38.99% | 6.65% | 54.27% | 185,246 |
| 2025/03/07 | 39.74% | 6.67% | 53.52% | 187,137 |
| 2025/03/14 | 40.94% | 6.63% | 52.36% | 189,923 |
| 2025/03/21 | 40.78% | 6.39% | 52.77% | 189,501 |
| 2025/03/28 | 40.94% | 6.21% | 52.78% | 190,150 |
| 2025/04/02 | 40.94% | 6.38% | 52.6% | 189,049 |
| 2025/04/11 | 41.1% | 6.48% | 52.35% | 188,413 |
| 2025/04/18 | 41.35% | 6.32% | 52.24% | 188,884 |
| 2025/04/25 | 41.55% | 6.41% | 51.96% | 189,278 |
| 2025/05/02 | 41.66% | 6.36% | 51.91% | 189,471 |
| 2025/05/09 | 41.74% | 6.64% | 51.53% | 189,169 |
| 2025/05/16 | 42.15% | 6.57% | 51.22% | 189,938 |
| 2025/05/23 | 42.38% | 6.6% | 50.95% | 190,262 |
| 2025/05/29 | 42.76% | 6.54% | 50.6% | 191,483 |
| 2025/06/06 | 42.92% | 6.67% | 50.33% | 191,849 |
| 2025/06/13 | 43.53% | 6.95% | 49.44% | 193,977 |
| 2025/06/20 | 43.51% | 7.03% | 49.39% | 193,422 |
| 2025/06/27 | 43.28% | 6.9% | 49.73% | 192,277 |
| 2025/07/04 | 43.13% | 6.92% | 49.87% | 191,165 |
| 2025/07/11 | 43.01% | 7.21% | 49.69% | 190,782 |
| 2025/07/18 | 42.94% | 7.32% | 49.67% | 190,204 |
| 2025/07/25 | 43.11% | 7.6% | 49.22% | 190,129 |
| 2025/08/01 | 43.07% | 7.35% | 49.51% | 189,881 |
| 2025/08/08 | 43.35% | 7.26% | 49.33% | 193,879 |
| 2025/08/15 | 43.08% | 7.35% | 49.51% | 196,864 |
| 2025/08/22 | 44.08% | 7.43% | 48.4% | 200,517 |
| 2025/08/29 | 43.61% | 7.34% | 48.96% | 200,147 |
| 2025/09/05 | 44.13% | 7.37% | 48.42% | 200,546 |
| 2025/09/12 | 43.8% | 7.44% | 48.67% | 198,748 |
| 2025/09/19 | 44.02% | 7.3% | 48.62% | 198,191 |
| 2025/09/26 | 43.56% | 7.42% | 48.93% | 195,923 |
| 2025/10/03 | 44.61% | 7.2% | 48.12% | 200,079 |
| 2025/10/09 | 44.8% | 7.33% | 47.81% | 200,351 |
| 2025/10/17 | 46.19% | 7.42% | 46.32% | 202,238 |
| 2025/10/23 | 45.94% | 7.35% | 46.62% | 201,391 |
| 2025/10/31 | 44.53% | 6.97% | 48.42% | 196,931 |
| 2025/11/07 | 44.97% | 7.5% | 47.44% | 196,913 |
| 2025/11/14 | 45.39% | 7.49% | 47.05% | 197,779 |
ANONYMOUS在2025/08/28 14:56
#2354
ANONYMOUS在2025/08/07 00:26
#2354
ANONYMOUS在2023/07/19 11:35
#2354
扶不起的阿斗
ANONYMOUS在2019/06/11 16:52
#2354
呵呵!跌回原點了