台聯電（4905）股票可以買嗎？K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期：
，每天14:00後更新。
本日股價資訊
| 開 |
高 |
低 |
收 |
| 62.2 |
66.3 |
62 |
66.3 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
每日股價資訊
| 日期 |
開盤價 |
最高價 |
最低價 |
收盤價 |
成交量 |
| 2025/04/30 |
61.5 |
61.8 |
61.5 |
61.6 |
8 |
| 2025/05/02 |
61.8 |
62.8 |
61.6 |
62.8 |
6 |
| 2025/05/05 |
60.2 |
61.6 |
60.1 |
61.6 |
26 |
| 2025/05/06 |
61.6 |
63.1 |
61.6 |
62.6 |
10 |
| 2025/05/07 |
62.4 |
62.4 |
59.2 |
60.3 |
22 |
| 2025/05/08 |
60.2 |
61.4 |
59.8 |
60.8 |
13 |
| 2025/05/09 |
61.2 |
62.7 |
60.7 |
61.5 |
30 |
| 2025/05/12 |
61.5 |
61.5 |
60.8 |
61.5 |
17 |
| 2025/05/13 |
61.5 |
61.6 |
61.4 |
61.4 |
9 |
| 2025/05/14 |
62.3 |
62.3 |
61.6 |
61.6 |
4 |
| 2025/05/15 |
61.9 |
62 |
61.9 |
62 |
23 |
| 2025/05/16 |
62 |
62 |
60.8 |
61.9 |
13 |
| 2025/05/19 |
60.3 |
62.3 |
60.3 |
61.7 |
17 |
| 2025/05/20 |
60.3 |
61.5 |
60.3 |
61.5 |
9 |
| 2025/05/21 |
61.5 |
62 |
60.5 |
61.5 |
6 |
| 2025/05/22 |
61.6 |
61.6 |
60.7 |
61.5 |
5 |
| 2025/05/23 |
61 |
61.4 |
60.6 |
60.8 |
9 |
| 2025/05/26 |
60.2 |
60.3 |
59 |
59.6 |
4 |
| 2025/05/27 |
60.1 |
60.7 |
60 |
60.1 |
26 |
| 2025/05/28 |
60.1 |
60.1 |
60.1 |
60.1 |
10 |
| 2025/05/29 |
60.2 |
60.9 |
60.2 |
60.9 |
5 |
| 2025/06/02 |
61 |
61.2 |
60.8 |
60.9 |
9 |
| 2025/06/04 |
61.3 |
61.3 |
61.1 |
61.2 |
5 |
| 2025/06/05 |
61.1 |
61.2 |
61.1 |
61.2 |
17 |
| 2025/06/06 |
60.6 |
60.8 |
60.5 |
60.8 |
8 |
| 2025/06/09 |
60.7 |
60.8 |
60.5 |
60.5 |
13 |
| 2025/06/10 |
63.3 |
65.8 |
61.2 |
61.4 |
60 |
| 2025/06/11 |
60.3 |
61.4 |
60.3 |
61.4 |
8 |
| 2025/06/12 |
61.4 |
61.4 |
61.4 |
61.4 |
6 |
| 2025/06/16 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
60.9 |
62 |
13 |
| 2025/06/17 |
63 |
63 |
63 |
63 |
6 |
| 2025/06/18 |
63 |
64.2 |
63 |
63 |
17 |
| 2025/06/19 |
61.7 |
62.9 |
61.7 |
62.2 |
8 |
| 2025/06/20 |
61.4 |
61.4 |
61.4 |
61.4 |
3 |
| 2025/06/23 |
63.5 |
63.5 |
62.6 |
62.6 |
7 |
| 2025/06/24 |
61.7 |
64 |
61.7 |
62.7 |
6 |
| 2025/06/25 |
60.6 |
62.7 |
60.6 |
61.4 |
8 |
| 2025/06/26 |
60.1 |
61.9 |
60.1 |
61.9 |
13 |
| 2025/06/27 |
60.2 |
60.2 |
60.2 |
60.2 |
3 |
| 2025/06/30 |
62 |
62 |
60.2 |
61.8 |
9 |
| 2025/07/02 |
59.7 |
61.6 |
59.7 |
61.6 |
15 |
| 2025/07/03 |
63.8 |
63.8 |
61.8 |
61.8 |
8 |
| 2025/07/04 |
61.1 |
61.3 |
61.1 |
61.3 |
6 |
| 2025/07/07 |
61.3 |
61.5 |
61.3 |
61.5 |
3 |
| 2025/07/09 |
61.5 |
61.6 |
61.3 |
61.6 |
16 |
| 2025/07/10 |
61.8 |
62.9 |
61.8 |
62.9 |
16 |
| 2025/07/11 |
60.7 |
61.6 |
60.7 |
61.6 |
8 |
| 2025/07/15 |
62 |
62 |
61.6 |
61.6 |
5 |
| 2025/07/16 |
62 |
62.1 |
62 |
62 |
13 |
| 2025/07/17 |
61.9 |
62 |
61.5 |
61.5 |
12 |
| 2025/07/18 |
61.5 |
61.5 |
61.5 |
61.5 |
10 |
| 2025/07/21 |
61.4 |
61.4 |
61.1 |
61.1 |
10 |
| 2025/07/22 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
2 |
| 2025/07/23 |
61.5 |
62 |
61.5 |
62 |
9 |
| 2025/07/24 |
60.2 |
62 |
60.2 |
62 |
4 |
| 2025/07/25 |
60.6 |
60.6 |
60.6 |
60.6 |
7 |
| 2025/07/30 |
61.8 |
61.8 |
61.5 |
61.5 |
3 |
| 2025/08/01 |
61.8 |
62.1 |
61.8 |
62.1 |
5 |
| 2025/08/04 |
61.5 |
63 |
61.5 |
62 |
7 |
| 2025/08/05 |
62 |
62.1 |
61.8 |
62 |
34 |
| 2025/08/06 |
62 |
63 |
62 |
62.8 |
10 |
| 2025/08/07 |
62.8 |
64 |
62.8 |
64 |
10 |
| 2025/08/08 |
66 |
66 |
65.5 |
65.5 |
32 |
| 2025/08/11 |
62.6 |
62.7 |
62 |
62 |
16 |
| 2025/08/12 |
62 |
62.7 |
62 |
62.2 |
10 |
| 2025/08/13 |
62.1 |
62.6 |
62 |
62.6 |
4 |
| 2025/08/14 |
62.6 |
62.6 |
62.3 |
62.3 |
6 |
| 2025/08/15 |
61.5 |
61.9 |
61.5 |
61.9 |
7 |
| 2025/08/18 |
62 |
62 |
62 |
62 |
9 |
| 2025/08/19 |
65.1 |
65.1 |
62.2 |
63.2 |
11 |
| 2025/08/21 |
60.7 |
62.7 |
60.7 |
62.7 |
6 |
| 2025/08/25 |
62.7 |
62.7 |
62.7 |
62.7 |
4 |
| 2025/08/26 |
62.4 |
62.4 |
62.4 |
62.4 |
2 |
| 2025/08/27 |
61.3 |
62.9 |
61.3 |
62.9 |
9 |
| 2025/08/28 |
62.7 |
62.7 |
62.7 |
62.7 |
1 |
| 2025/09/01 |
63.1 |
63.1 |
63.1 |
63.1 |
2 |
| 2025/09/02 |
62.7 |
62.7 |
62.4 |
62.4 |
4 |
| 2025/09/03 |
64 |
64 |
64 |
64 |
3 |
| 2025/09/04 |
62.3 |
62.3 |
62.3 |
62.3 |
2 |
| 2025/09/05 |
64.4 |
64.4 |
62.3 |
62.3 |
11 |
| 2025/09/08 |
63.4 |
63.4 |
62.7 |
62.8 |
10 |
| 2025/09/09 |
62.8 |
62.9 |
62.8 |
62.9 |
9 |
| 2025/09/10 |
61.6 |
62.7 |
61.6 |
62.5 |
7 |
| 2025/09/11 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
8 |
| 2025/09/12 |
62.5 |
62.7 |
62.5 |
62.7 |
11 |
| 2025/09/15 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
5 |
| 2025/09/16 |
62.7 |
62.7 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
4 |
| 2025/09/17 |
62.1 |
62.1 |
62.1 |
62.1 |
1 |
| 2025/09/18 |
62.1 |
62.1 |
62.1 |
62.1 |
5 |
| 2025/09/22 |
60.3 |
62.1 |
60.3 |
62.1 |
16 |
| 2025/09/23 |
62 |
62 |
62 |
62 |
6 |
| 2025/09/24 |
62.1 |
63.4 |
62.1 |
63.4 |
10 |
| 2025/09/26 |
60.8 |
62.3 |
60.8 |
62.3 |
2 |
| 2025/10/01 |
61.9 |
62.2 |
61.9 |
62.2 |
11 |
| 2025/10/02 |
62.2 |
62.2 |
62.2 |
62.2 |
4 |
| 2025/10/03 |
62.2 |
62.2 |
62 |
62.1 |
10 |
| 2025/10/07 |
62.1 |
62.1 |
60.9 |
60.9 |
10 |
| 2025/10/08 |
61.5 |
63.2 |
61.5 |
63 |
9 |
| 2025/10/09 |
63 |
63 |
61.1 |
62.9 |
13 |
| 2025/10/15 |
60.7 |
63 |
60.7 |
63 |
19 |
| 2025/10/17 |
63.9 |
63.9 |
63 |
63.5 |
17 |
| 2025/10/21 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
4 |
| 2025/10/22 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
61.2 |
1 |
| 2025/10/27 |
61.2 |
61.4 |
61.2 |
61.4 |
10 |
| 2025/10/28 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
62.4 |
62.4 |
3 |
| 2025/10/30 |
62.5 |
62.5 |
60.6 |
61.2 |
9 |
| 2025/10/31 |
62.2 |
62.5 |
62 |
62.5 |
12 |
| 2025/11/03 |
62.6 |
63.9 |
62.6 |
63.9 |
30 |
| 2025/11/04 |
64.9 |
68.2 |
62.9 |
67 |
77 |
| 2025/11/05 |
68.3 |
68.3 |
66.3 |
66.3 |
19 |
| 2025/11/06 |
66.3 |
66.3 |
65.8 |
66 |
54 |
| 2025/11/10 |
64.5 |
69.4 |
63 |
69.4 |
68 |
| 2025/11/11 |
71 |
71.8 |
67.3 |
67.3 |
145 |
| 2025/11/12 |
67.3 |
67.3 |
67.3 |
67.3 |
4 |
| 2025/11/13 |
70.3 |
72.7 |
69 |
69 |
118 |
| 2025/11/14 |
72.6 |
72.6 |
66.7 |
68.1 |
82 |
| 2025/11/17 |
65.9 |
66.6 |
65.9 |
66.6 |
9 |
| 2025/11/18 |
64.5 |
65.1 |
64.5 |
64.8 |
9 |
| 2025/11/19 |
62.6 |
63.6 |
62.6 |
63.4 |
5 |
| 2025/11/20 |
62.2 |
66.3 |
62 |
66.3 |
10 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
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台聯電 (4905) 近 90 天股價趨勢分析與操作建議
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台聯電 (4905) 近 90 天股價趨勢分析與操作建議
趨勢判斷與理由
綜合考量台聯電 (4905) 近 90 天的股價走勢、移動平均線 (MA5 與 MA20) 以及成交量變化，預測未來數天至數週，股價可能面臨整理或小幅回落的壓力。主要理由如下：
- 股價近期高位拉回： 觀察圖表可見，在 2025 年 10 月下旬，台聯電股價出現了一波顯著的上漲，一度觸及 70 以上的高點。然而，在 2025 年 11 月 20 日的最後交易日，股價呈現下跌，收盤價回落至 MA20 (黃線) 之下。
- MA5 轉弱： 代表短期趨勢的 MA5 (綠線) 在近期已經下彎，並跌破了 MA20 (黃線)。MA5 跌破 MA20 通常被視為短期趨勢轉弱的警訊，意味著賣壓可能逐漸增強。
- 成交量變化： 在近期股價上漲的過程中，成交量有放大跡象，顯示市場關注度提升。然而，在股價拉回的 11 月 20 日，雖然成交量仍維持在相對活躍的水平，但下跌的 K 線型態暗示著多方力道有所減弱，空方開始介入。
- 乖離率修正： 在經歷一段時間的上漲後，股價與移動平均線之間可能存在一定的乖離。近期股價的拉回，也可能是為了修正此乖離，使股價回歸均線趨勢。
未來目標價格區間
基於上述分析，預期未來數天至數週，股價可能在以下區間進行整理或尋求支撐：
此區間的判斷是基於近期的支撐與壓力位，以及 MA20 的位置。若股價能守穩於此區間，則有機會在整理後再次向上挑戰。若跌破此區間，則需進一步觀察後續支撐。
操作建議
對於散戶投資人而言，面對「XX 股票可以買嗎」的疑問，應採取謹慎的態度，並結合自身的風險承受能力與投資目標。針對台聯電 (4905) 的當前情況，建議如下：
- 暫緩追高： 考量到股價已在高位拉回，且短期均線呈現轉弱跡象，不建議散戶投資人在目前位置追高買入。
- 觀察與等待： 建議散戶投資人可以先將台聯電納入觀察名單，等待股價出現更明確的買進訊號。例如，股價能成功站穩於 MA20 之上，且 MA5 能夠重新向上穿越 MA20，並伴隨成交量的溫和放大，則可考慮分批佈局。
- 分批承接或設定停損： 若已有部位的投資人，可考慮在股價拉回至關鍵支撐位 (如 MA20 或前期的密集交易區) 時，進行逢低分批承接。但務必設定好停損點，例如，當股價跌破 64 元時，應考慮出場以控制風險。
- 關注基本面與消息面： 股價的走勢最終會受到公司基本面、產業前景以及整體市場情緒的影響。建議投資人除了技術分析外，也應持續關注台聯電的營收、獲利能力、產業動態以及相關新聞，以做出更全面的投資決策。
- 風險控管為重： 任何投資都伴隨著風險。散戶投資人應量力而為，勿將所有資金投入單一股票，並確保自身有足夠的資金應對潛在的虧損。
總結
綜合以上分析，台聯電 (4905) 在經歷一波上漲後，短期內面臨整理或小幅回落的壓力，預計未來股價可能在 64 至 69 元區間進行波動。散戶投資人應暫緩追高，可考慮將其納入觀察名單，待出現更明確的買進訊號再伺機進場，並嚴格執行風險控管。
台聯電 (4905) 近 90 天股價走勢概覽 (2025-04-30 至 2025-11-20)
| 日期 |
收盤價 (估計) |
MA5 (估計) |
MA20 (估計) |
成交量 (估計) |
漲跌標示 (參考) |
| 2025-04-30 |
約 61.5 |
- |
- |
較低 |
紅 (跌) |
| 2025-05-12 |
約 60.5 |
- |
- |
較低 |
綠 (跌) |
| 2025-05-21 |
約 62.0 |
- |
- |
中等 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-06-02 |
約 61.0 |
- |
- |
中等 |
綠 (跌) |
| 2025-06-12 |
約 61.5 |
- |
- |
高 |
綠 (漲) |
| 2025-06-24 |
約 62.5 |
- |
- |
中等 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-07-04 |
約 60.8 |
- |
- |
中等 |
綠 (跌) |
| 2025-07-17 |
約 60.2 |
- |
- |
較低 |
綠 (跌) |
| 2025-07-30 |
約 60.5 |
- |
- |
中等 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-08-11 |
約 62.0 |
- |
- |
高 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-08-21 |
約 63.0 |
- |
- |
中等 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-09-03 |
約 62.0 |
- |
- |
中等 |
綠 (跌) |
| 2025-09-12 |
約 61.8 |
- |
- |
中等 |
綠 (跌) |
| 2025-09-24 |
約 62.5 |
- |
- |
較低 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-10-09 |
約 62.8 |
- |
- |
中等 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-10-30 |
約 64.5 |
- |
- |
中等 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-11-11 |
約 72.0 |
約 70.0 |
約 65.0 |
很高 |
紅 (漲) |
| 2025-11-20 |
約 67.5 |
約 68.0 |
約 66.0 |
高 |
綠 (跌) |
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
每週股權分散表分級資料
| 日期 |
100張以下持股比例 |
100~1000張持股比例 |
1000張以上持股比例 |
總股東人數 |
| 2024/09/20 |
12.68% |
22.51% |
64.73% |
2,061 |
| 2024/09/27 |
12.66% |
22.53% |
64.73% |
2,066 |
| 2024/10/04 |
12.65% |
22.54% |
64.73% |
2,061 |
| 2024/10/11 |
12.6% |
22.59% |
64.73% |
2,051 |
| 2024/10/18 |
12.56% |
22.6% |
64.75% |
2,046 |
| 2024/10/25 |
12.47% |
22.65% |
64.81% |
2,031 |
| 2024/11/01 |
12.47% |
22.65% |
64.81% |
2,034 |
| 2024/11/08 |
12.46% |
22.65% |
64.82% |
2,028 |
| 2024/11/15 |
12.45% |
22.65% |
64.82% |
2,075 |
| 2024/11/22 |
12.2% |
22.65% |
65.09% |
2,043 |
| 2024/11/29 |
12.13% |
22.65% |
65.15% |
2,037 |
| 2024/12/06 |
12.09% |
22.65% |
65.19% |
2,037 |
| 2024/12/13 |
11.26% |
23.43% |
65.24% |
2,022 |
| 2024/12/20 |
11.23% |
23.45% |
65.24% |
2,027 |
| 2024/12/27 |
11.2% |
23.49% |
65.24% |
2,014 |
| 2025/01/03 |
11.2% |
23.49% |
65.24% |
2,007 |
| 2025/01/10 |
11.18% |
23.51% |
65.24% |
1,995 |
| 2025/01/17 |
11.22% |
23.47% |
65.24% |
2,002 |
| 2025/01/22 |
11.17% |
23.52% |
65.24% |
1,997 |
| 2025/02/07 |
11.17% |
23.52% |
65.24% |
1,998 |
| 2025/02/14 |
11.17% |
23.52% |
65.25% |
1,989 |
| 2025/02/21 |
11.13% |
23.54% |
65.26% |
1,995 |
| 2025/02/27 |
11.11% |
26.52% |
62.29% |
2,010 |
| 2025/03/07 |
11.12% |
26.53% |
62.29% |
2,012 |
| 2025/03/14 |
11% |
26.53% |
62.4% |
2,013 |
| 2025/03/21 |
10.96% |
26.53% |
62.43% |
2,017 |
| 2025/03/28 |
10.93% |
26.54% |
62.46% |
2,013 |
| 2025/04/02 |
10.9% |
26.54% |
62.48% |
2,009 |
| 2025/04/11 |
10.54% |
26.51% |
62.87% |
1,973 |
| 2025/04/18 |
10.54% |
26.51% |
62.87% |
1,966 |
| 2025/04/25 |
10.52% |
26.51% |
62.89% |
1,961 |
| 2025/05/02 |
10.5% |
26.52% |
62.89% |
1,965 |
| 2025/05/09 |
10.45% |
26.55% |
62.91% |
1,961 |
| 2025/05/16 |
10.39% |
26.57% |
62.96% |
1,954 |
| 2025/05/23 |
10.39% |
26.57% |
62.96% |
1,957 |
| 2025/05/29 |
10.36% |
26.57% |
63% |
1,945 |
| 2025/06/06 |
10.34% |
26.57% |
63% |
1,935 |
| 2025/06/13 |
10.3% |
26.58% |
63.03% |
1,929 |
| 2025/06/20 |
10.31% |
26.59% |
63.03% |
1,928 |
| 2025/06/27 |
10.3% |
26.59% |
63.03% |
1,928 |
| 2025/07/04 |
10.3% |
26.59% |
63.04% |
1,922 |
| 2025/07/11 |
10.29% |
26.59% |
63.05% |
1,920 |
| 2025/07/18 |
10.3% |
26.57% |
63.05% |
1,915 |
| 2025/07/25 |
10.28% |
26.57% |
63.06% |
1,915 |
| 2025/08/01 |
10.27% |
26.57% |
63.06% |
1,915 |
| 2025/08/08 |
10.2% |
26.57% |
63.16% |
1,907 |
| 2025/08/15 |
10.2% |
26.56% |
63.17% |
1,920 |
| 2025/08/22 |
10.18% |
26.56% |
63.17% |
1,914 |
| 2025/08/29 |
10.2% |
26.56% |
63.17% |
1,909 |
| 2025/09/05 |
10.2% |
26.56% |
63.17% |
1,909 |
| 2025/09/12 |
10.14% |
26.57% |
63.21% |
1,902 |
| 2025/09/19 |
10.07% |
26.57% |
63.28% |
1,899 |
| 2025/09/26 |
10.01% |
26.6% |
63.32% |
1,891 |
| 2025/10/03 |
9.98% |
26.61% |
63.33% |
1,884 |
| 2025/10/09 |
9.93% |
26.62% |
63.38% |
1,877 |
| 2025/10/17 |
9.97% |
26.59% |
63.38% |
1,869 |
| 2025/10/23 |
9.95% |
26.61% |
63.38% |
1,867 |
| 2025/10/31 |
9.93% |
26.61% |
63.38% |
1,866 |
| 2025/11/07 |
10.31% |
26.24% |
63.38% |
1,908 |
| 2025/11/14 |
10.31% |
26.23% |
63.38% |
1,923 |
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ANONYMOUS在2023/01/06 13:12
#4905
爛股