台聯電(4905)股票可以買嗎?K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價

K線圖與股價本日交易資訊

資料日期: ,每天14:00後更新。

本日股價資訊
60.3 62.9 60.3 62.9
查看每日股價資訊表格
每日股價資訊
日期 開盤價 最高價 最低價 收盤價 成交量
2025/05/12 61.5 61.5 60.8 61.5 17
2025/05/13 61.5 61.6 61.4 61.4 9
2025/05/14 62.3 62.3 61.6 61.6 4
2025/05/15 61.9 62 61.9 62 23
2025/05/16 62 62 60.8 61.9 13
2025/05/19 60.3 62.3 60.3 61.7 17
2025/05/20 60.3 61.5 60.3 61.5 9
2025/05/21 61.5 62 60.5 61.5 6
2025/05/22 61.6 61.6 60.7 61.5 5
2025/05/23 61 61.4 60.6 60.8 9
2025/05/26 60.2 60.3 59 59.6 4
2025/05/27 60.1 60.7 60 60.1 26
2025/05/28 60.1 60.1 60.1 60.1 10
2025/05/29 60.2 60.9 60.2 60.9 5
2025/06/02 61 61.2 60.8 60.9 9
2025/06/04 61.3 61.3 61.1 61.2 5
2025/06/05 61.1 61.2 61.1 61.2 17
2025/06/06 60.6 60.8 60.5 60.8 8
2025/06/09 60.7 60.8 60.5 60.5 13
2025/06/10 63.3 65.8 61.2 61.4 60
2025/06/11 60.3 61.4 60.3 61.4 8
2025/06/12 61.4 61.4 61.4 61.4 6
2025/06/16 62.5 62.5 60.9 62 13
2025/06/17 63 63 63 63 6
2025/06/18 63 64.2 63 63 17
2025/06/19 61.7 62.9 61.7 62.2 8
2025/06/20 61.4 61.4 61.4 61.4 3
2025/06/23 63.5 63.5 62.6 62.6 7
2025/06/24 61.7 64 61.7 62.7 6
2025/06/25 60.6 62.7 60.6 61.4 8
2025/06/26 60.1 61.9 60.1 61.9 13
2025/06/27 60.2 60.2 60.2 60.2 3
2025/06/30 62 62 60.2 61.8 9
2025/07/02 59.7 61.6 59.7 61.6 15
2025/07/03 63.8 63.8 61.8 61.8 8
2025/07/04 61.1 61.3 61.1 61.3 6
2025/07/07 61.3 61.5 61.3 61.5 3
2025/07/09 61.5 61.6 61.3 61.6 16
2025/07/10 61.8 62.9 61.8 62.9 16
2025/07/11 60.7 61.6 60.7 61.6 8
2025/07/15 62 62 61.6 61.6 5
2025/07/16 62 62.1 62 62 13
2025/07/17 61.9 62 61.5 61.5 12
2025/07/18 61.5 61.5 61.5 61.5 10
2025/07/21 61.4 61.4 61.1 61.1 10
2025/07/22 61.2 61.2 61.2 61.2 2
2025/07/23 61.5 62 61.5 62 9
2025/07/24 60.2 62 60.2 62 4
2025/07/25 60.6 60.6 60.6 60.6 7
2025/07/30 61.8 61.8 61.5 61.5 3
2025/08/01 61.8 62.1 61.8 62.1 5
2025/08/04 61.5 63 61.5 62 7
2025/08/05 62 62.1 61.8 62 34
2025/08/06 62 63 62 62.8 10
2025/08/07 62.8 64 62.8 64 10
2025/08/08 66 66 65.5 65.5 32
2025/08/11 62.6 62.7 62 62 16
2025/08/12 62 62.7 62 62.2 10
2025/08/13 62.1 62.6 62 62.6 4
2025/08/14 62.6 62.6 62.3 62.3 6
2025/08/15 61.5 61.9 61.5 61.9 7
2025/08/18 62 62 62 62 9
2025/08/19 65.1 65.1 62.2 63.2 11
2025/08/21 60.7 62.7 60.7 62.7 6
2025/08/25 62.7 62.7 62.7 62.7 4
2025/08/26 62.4 62.4 62.4 62.4 2
2025/08/27 61.3 62.9 61.3 62.9 9
2025/08/28 62.7 62.7 62.7 62.7 1
2025/09/01 63.1 63.1 63.1 63.1 2
2025/09/02 62.7 62.7 62.4 62.4 4
2025/09/03 64 64 64 64 3
2025/09/04 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 2
2025/09/05 64.4 64.4 62.3 62.3 11
2025/09/08 63.4 63.4 62.7 62.8 10
2025/09/09 62.8 62.9 62.8 62.9 9
2025/09/10 61.6 62.7 61.6 62.5 7
2025/09/11 62.5 62.5 62.5 62.5 8
2025/09/12 62.5 62.7 62.5 62.7 11
2025/09/15 62.5 62.5 62.5 62.5 5
2025/09/16 62.7 62.7 61.2 61.2 4
2025/09/17 62.1 62.1 62.1 62.1 1
2025/09/18 62.1 62.1 62.1 62.1 5
2025/09/22 60.3 62.1 60.3 62.1 16
2025/09/23 62 62 62 62 6
2025/09/24 62.1 63.4 62.1 63.4 10
2025/09/26 60.8 62.3 60.8 62.3 2
2025/10/01 61.9 62.2 61.9 62.2 11
2025/10/02 62.2 62.2 62.2 62.2 4
2025/10/03 62.2 62.2 62 62.1 10
2025/10/07 62.1 62.1 60.9 60.9 10
2025/10/08 61.5 63.2 61.5 63 9
2025/10/09 63 63 61.1 62.9 13
2025/10/15 60.7 63 60.7 63 19
2025/10/17 63.9 63.9 63 63.5 17
2025/10/21 61.2 61.2 61.2 61.2 4
2025/10/22 61.2 61.2 61.2 61.2 1
2025/10/27 61.2 61.4 61.2 61.4 10
2025/10/28 62.5 62.5 62.4 62.4 3
2025/10/30 62.5 62.5 60.6 61.2 9
2025/10/31 62.2 62.5 62 62.5 12
2025/11/03 62.6 63.9 62.6 63.9 30
2025/11/04 64.9 68.2 62.9 67 77
2025/11/05 68.3 68.3 66.3 66.3 19
2025/11/06 66.3 66.3 65.8 66 54
2025/11/10 64.5 69.4 63 69.4 68
2025/11/11 71 71.8 67.3 67.3 145
2025/11/12 67.3 67.3 67.3 67.3 4
2025/11/13 70.3 72.7 69 69 118
2025/11/14 72.6 72.6 66.7 68.1 82
2025/11/17 65.9 66.6 65.9 66.6 9
2025/11/18 64.5 65.1 64.5 64.8 9
2025/11/19 62.6 63.6 62.6 63.4 5
2025/11/20 62.2 66.3 62 66.3 10
2025/11/27 62.7 64.8 62.7 64.8 6
2025/11/28 66.7 66.7 64.2 64.2 9
2025/12/01 62 62 60.4 60.4 16
2025/12/02 61.9 63.2 60.9 63.2 17
2025/12/03 63.1 63.2 62.1 62.1 13
2025/12/04 63.1 63.1 62 62 11
2025/12/05 60.3 62.9 60.3 62.9 6

AI的K線圖分析和操作建議

以下內容由AI生成:

點擊查看。AI建議自動產生於:,輸入:市場模型。 台聯電 (4905) 股票走勢分析與操作建議 基於目前的圖…

台聯電 (4905) 股票走勢分析與操作建議

基於目前的圖表資訊,筆者對台聯電 (4905) 在未來數天或數週內的股價走勢判斷為偏向盤整後可能反彈。理由如下:

首先,觀察 90 天的 K 線圖,自 2025 年 10 月下旬以來,股價經歷了一波顯著的上漲,最高觸及約 72 元。然而,隨後股價出現回落,特別是從 2025 年 11 月中旬開始,出現了連續的下跌。截至 2025 年 12 月 5 日,股價已回測至 62 元附近,這處價格區間與先前(2025 年 8 月底至 10 月初)的盤整平台有部分重疊,顯示此處可能存在一定的支撐。

其次,從移動平均線來看,短期均線 MA5 (淺綠色線) 與長期均線 MA20 (黃色線) 的關係顯示,在先前的大漲後,MA5 已從高點下彎,並在近期跌破 MA20,這通常被視為短期賣壓較重的訊號。然而,MA20 本身仍在緩步上行,且股價目前已初步觸及 MA20 附近。如果股價能夠在 MA20 附近獲得支撐並止跌,那麼 MA5 有機會再次向上穿越 MA20,形成金叉,這將是趨勢轉強的潛在訊號。

成交量方面,在 10 月下旬的波段漲勢中,成交量有明顯放大,顯示市場的參與度提升。而在隨後的下跌過程中,成交量相對縮小,這可能意味著賣壓並未持續增強,市場的拋售意願可能正在減弱。若後續股價反彈時,成交量能再次放大,將能有效確認上漲的力道。

綜合以上觀察,股價經歷了快速拉升後的修正,且目前已回測至關鍵的 MA20 均線及前期盤整區間。若能在此價位獲得有效支撐,並伴隨量價配合,則有機會展開新一輪的上漲。若然跌破,則可能進入更深的回檔。

未來目標價格區間

考量到先前的高點以及近期修正的幅度,若多方能夠有效掌握,預期未來數天至數週的目標價格區間可能落在 66 元至 71 元

  • 上檔壓力: 前波高點約 72 元,以及 MA20 預計的價位。
  • 下檔支撐: 目前的 MA20 均線位置(約 62-63 元),以及先前整理區間的低點。

操作建議

針對散戶投資人,「XX 股票可以買嗎」的疑問,對於台聯電 (4905),筆者建議採取謹慎中帶有彈性的策略。

  • 若投資人為空手者:
    • 買進時機: 建議觀察股價是否能在 62-63 元的 MA20 均線附近出現明顯的止跌訊號,例如出現連續的下影線較長的綠 K 線,或是在量價配合下出現長紅 K 線。若能見到此現象,可以考慮小量分批佈局。
    • 停損設定: 若買進後股價不幸跌破 60 元關卡,且成交量異常放大,則應嚴格執行停損,避免進一步的虧損。
    • 資金比例: 建議將投入資金的比例控制在可承受的風險範圍內,不宜過度集中。
  • 若投資人為持有者:
    • 續抱或減碼: 若股價守穩在 62-63 元,且出現反彈跡象,可考慮續抱,並將停損點位逐步向上移動至成本價附近。若股價持續走弱,跌破關鍵支撐,則可考慮減碼出場。
    • 獲利了結: 若股價成功挑戰前期高點 70 元以上,且出現明顯的技術性反壓訊號(如長黑 K 線、成交量異常放大),可考慮部分獲利了結。

重要提醒: 股市投資涉及風險,以上分析僅為基於技術圖表之判斷,僅供參考,不構成任何投資建議。投資人應獨立判斷,並自行承擔投資風險。

總結: 基於目前的 K 線圖、移動平均線及成交量分析,台聯電 (4905) 在經歷一波修正後,預計將在未來數天至數週內處於盤整後可能反彈的趨勢,目標價格區間預估為 66 元至 71 元。散戶投資人若考慮買進,建議待股價於 62-63 元附近出現止跌訊號後再伺機介入,並嚴設停損。

股權分散表

查看每日股權分散表表格
每週股權分散表分級資料
日期 100張以下持股比例 100~1000張持股比例 1000張以上持股比例 總股東人數
2024/10/04 12.65% 22.54% 64.73% 2,061
2024/10/11 12.6% 22.59% 64.73% 2,051
2024/10/18 12.56% 22.6% 64.75% 2,046
2024/10/25 12.47% 22.65% 64.81% 2,031
2024/11/01 12.47% 22.65% 64.81% 2,034
2024/11/08 12.46% 22.65% 64.82% 2,028
2024/11/15 12.45% 22.65% 64.82% 2,075
2024/11/22 12.2% 22.65% 65.09% 2,043
2024/11/29 12.13% 22.65% 65.15% 2,037
2024/12/06 12.09% 22.65% 65.19% 2,037
2024/12/13 11.26% 23.43% 65.24% 2,022
2024/12/20 11.23% 23.45% 65.24% 2,027
2024/12/27 11.2% 23.49% 65.24% 2,014
2025/01/03 11.2% 23.49% 65.24% 2,007
2025/01/10 11.18% 23.51% 65.24% 1,995
2025/01/17 11.22% 23.47% 65.24% 2,002
2025/01/22 11.17% 23.52% 65.24% 1,997
2025/02/07 11.17% 23.52% 65.24% 1,998
2025/02/14 11.17% 23.52% 65.25% 1,989
2025/02/21 11.13% 23.54% 65.26% 1,995
2025/02/27 11.11% 26.52% 62.29% 2,010
2025/03/07 11.12% 26.53% 62.29% 2,012
2025/03/14 11% 26.53% 62.4% 2,013
2025/03/21 10.96% 26.53% 62.43% 2,017
2025/03/28 10.93% 26.54% 62.46% 2,013
2025/04/02 10.9% 26.54% 62.48% 2,009
2025/04/11 10.54% 26.51% 62.87% 1,973
2025/04/18 10.54% 26.51% 62.87% 1,966
2025/04/25 10.52% 26.51% 62.89% 1,961
2025/05/02 10.5% 26.52% 62.89% 1,965
2025/05/09 10.45% 26.55% 62.91% 1,961
2025/05/16 10.39% 26.57% 62.96% 1,954
2025/05/23 10.39% 26.57% 62.96% 1,957
2025/05/29 10.36% 26.57% 63% 1,945
2025/06/06 10.34% 26.57% 63% 1,935
2025/06/13 10.3% 26.58% 63.03% 1,929
2025/06/20 10.31% 26.59% 63.03% 1,928
2025/06/27 10.3% 26.59% 63.03% 1,928
2025/07/04 10.3% 26.59% 63.04% 1,922
2025/07/11 10.29% 26.59% 63.05% 1,920
2025/07/18 10.3% 26.57% 63.05% 1,915
2025/07/25 10.28% 26.57% 63.06% 1,915
2025/08/01 10.27% 26.57% 63.06% 1,915
2025/08/08 10.2% 26.57% 63.16% 1,907
2025/08/15 10.2% 26.56% 63.17% 1,920
2025/08/22 10.18% 26.56% 63.17% 1,914
2025/08/29 10.2% 26.56% 63.17% 1,909
2025/09/05 10.2% 26.56% 63.17% 1,909
2025/09/12 10.14% 26.57% 63.21% 1,902
2025/09/19 10.07% 26.57% 63.28% 1,899
2025/09/26 10.01% 26.6% 63.32% 1,891
2025/10/03 9.98% 26.61% 63.33% 1,884
2025/10/09 9.93% 26.62% 63.38% 1,877
2025/10/17 9.97% 26.59% 63.38% 1,869
2025/10/23 9.95% 26.61% 63.38% 1,867
2025/10/31 9.93% 26.61% 63.38% 1,866
2025/11/07 10.31% 26.24% 63.38% 1,908
2025/11/14 10.31% 26.23% 63.38% 1,923
2025/11/21 10.31% 26.23% 63.38% 1,909
2025/11/28 10.32% 26.23% 63.38% 1,903

評論討論區

  • ANONYMOUS在2023/01/06 13:12

    #4905
    爛股

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