旭富(4119)股票可以買嗎?K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期: ,每天14:00後更新。
| 開 | 高 | 低 | 收 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48.55 | 48.55 | 46.9 | 47 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
| 日期 | 開盤價 | 最高價 | 最低價 | 收盤價 | 成交量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/06/03 | 66.7 | 67.5 | 66.5 | 67 | 101 |
| 2025/06/04 | 67 | 68 | 66.1 | 67.5 | 171 |
| 2025/06/05 | 67.5 | 68.3 | 67.5 | 68.2 | 88 |
| 2025/06/06 | 68.6 | 68.6 | 67.7 | 67.9 | 93 |
| 2025/06/09 | 67.9 | 68 | 67.7 | 67.8 | 86 |
| 2025/06/10 | 67.7 | 68.2 | 67.5 | 68 | 93 |
| 2025/06/11 | 68 | 68.3 | 67.7 | 68 | 126 |
| 2025/06/12 | 68.1 | 68.5 | 67.8 | 68 | 90 |
| 2025/06/13 | 68 | 68 | 67.5 | 67.7 | 135 |
| 2025/06/16 | 67.8 | 67.8 | 66.9 | 67.1 | 104 |
| 2025/06/17 | 66.9 | 67.1 | 66.6 | 66.7 | 113 |
| 2025/06/18 | 66.7 | 67.5 | 66.6 | 66.7 | 123 |
| 2025/06/19 | 66.8 | 66.9 | 66.4 | 66.5 | 300 |
| 2025/06/20 | 66.2 | 66.2 | 65.2 | 65.4 | 189 |
| 2025/06/23 | 65 | 65 | 61.8 | 62.7 | 447 |
| 2025/06/24 | 64.4 | 64.4 | 62.9 | 63.9 | 164 |
| 2025/06/25 | 64.4 | 64.5 | 63.7 | 63.7 | 96 |
| 2025/06/26 | 63.8 | 64.5 | 63.8 | 64.1 | 112 |
| 2025/06/27 | 64.1 | 65.3 | 64.1 | 64.7 | 155 |
| 2025/06/30 | 64.5 | 64.9 | 64.2 | 64.7 | 159 |
| 2025/07/01 | 63.8 | 66.2 | 63.8 | 64.8 | 135 |
| 2025/07/02 | 64.7 | 65.6 | 64.7 | 65.4 | 109 |
| 2025/07/03 | 65.5 | 67.1 | 65.4 | 66.4 | 474 |
| 2025/07/04 | 66.4 | 67.3 | 65.7 | 65.9 | 132 |
| 2025/07/07 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 64.8 | 64.8 | 111 |
| 2025/07/08 | 64.9 | 64.9 | 63.6 | 63.8 | 100 |
| 2025/07/09 | 63.3 | 63.3 | 62.4 | 62.8 | 262 |
| 2025/07/10 | 62.4 | 62.8 | 61.8 | 61.9 | 239 |
| 2025/07/11 | 61.7 | 63.3 | 61.7 | 62.2 | 107 |
| 2025/07/14 | 62.1 | 63.1 | 62 | 62.3 | 85 |
| 2025/07/15 | 62.7 | 62.7 | 62 | 62.4 | 39 |
| 2025/07/16 | 62.4 | 63.3 | 62.4 | 62.5 | 95 |
| 2025/07/17 | 62.5 | 63.3 | 62.5 | 63.2 | 82 |
| 2025/07/18 | 63.7 | 63.7 | 62.6 | 62.6 | 123 |
| 2025/07/21 | 62.4 | 63.4 | 62.4 | 62.8 | 65 |
| 2025/07/22 | 62.3 | 62.8 | 61.3 | 61.6 | 200 |
| 2025/07/23 | 61.7 | 62.3 | 61.1 | 61.8 | 190 |
| 2025/07/24 | 61.8 | 61.8 | 61.3 | 61.7 | 123 |
| 2025/07/25 | 62 | 62 | 61.3 | 61.6 | 141 |
| 2025/07/28 | 61.4 | 61.4 | 60.8 | 60.9 | 225 |
| 2025/07/29 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 58.8 | 59.5 | 524 |
| 2025/07/30 | 59.5 | 59.5 | 58.9 | 59 | 252 |
| 2025/07/31 | 59 | 59 | 56.2 | 57.6 | 589 |
| 2025/08/01 | 56.5 | 57.6 | 55.8 | 57 | 569 |
| 2025/08/04 | 56.6 | 58.4 | 55.7 | 58.4 | 207 |
| 2025/08/05 | 58.5 | 60.4 | 58.5 | 59.3 | 306 |
| 2025/08/06 | 59.3 | 59.6 | 59.2 | 59.6 | 255 |
| 2025/08/07 | 59.6 | 59.6 | 58.5 | 59.2 | 182 |
| 2025/08/08 | 58.9 | 58.9 | 56.8 | 58.1 | 302 |
| 2025/08/11 | 58.1 | 58.1 | 55.5 | 57 | 438 |
| 2025/08/12 | 57 | 58 | 56.7 | 57.5 | 117 |
| 2025/08/13 | 58 | 60.5 | 57.9 | 60.3 | 357 |
| 2025/08/14 | 60.4 | 61.1 | 59.5 | 60 | 191 |
| 2025/08/15 | 60 | 60.2 | 59 | 60.1 | 125 |
| 2025/08/18 | 60 | 60.5 | 59.6 | 59.8 | 186 |
| 2025/08/19 | 59.5 | 59.6 | 59.1 | 59.3 | 107 |
| 2025/08/20 | 58.6 | 59.4 | 58 | 58.3 | 139 |
| 2025/08/21 | 58.6 | 60.9 | 58.3 | 59.4 | 246 |
| 2025/08/22 | 60 | 60.5 | 59.7 | 60.1 | 139 |
| 2025/08/25 | 60.1 | 60.1 | 59.1 | 59.5 | 324 |
| 2025/08/26 | 59.4 | 59.4 | 58.4 | 58.7 | 137 |
| 2025/08/27 | 58.5 | 60 | 58.5 | 59.8 | 80 |
| 2025/08/28 | 59.8 | 60.6 | 59.4 | 59.9 | 127 |
| 2025/08/29 | 60.3 | 60.3 | 59.2 | 59.4 | 325 |
| 2025/09/01 | 58.9 | 59.8 | 58.6 | 59.1 | 111 |
| 2025/09/02 | 59.9 | 63.2 | 59.9 | 61.6 | 453 |
| 2025/09/03 | 61.6 | 61.7 | 60.9 | 61.2 | 340 |
| 2025/09/04 | 61.2 | 61.3 | 60.9 | 61.2 | 138 |
| 2025/09/05 | 61.3 | 61.3 | 60.5 | 60.5 | 601 |
| 2025/09/08 | 60.5 | 61 | 60.4 | 61 | 196 |
| 2025/09/09 | 59.9 | 59.9 | 58.3 | 59.2 | 519 |
| 2025/09/10 | 59 | 59.8 | 58.3 | 59.7 | 305 |
| 2025/09/11 | 59.7 | 59.7 | 57.9 | 58 | 345 |
| 2025/09/12 | 58 | 58.9 | 57.6 | 58.2 | 118 |
| 2025/09/15 | 58.7 | 58.7 | 57.9 | 57.9 | 103 |
| 2025/09/16 | 57.9 | 58 | 57.4 | 57.6 | 197 |
| 2025/09/17 | 57.6 | 59 | 57.5 | 57.5 | 168 |
| 2025/09/18 | 57.8 | 58 | 57.7 | 57.7 | 197 |
| 2025/09/19 | 57.5 | 58.3 | 57.4 | 57.6 | 384 |
| 2025/09/22 | 58.1 | 58.8 | 57.6 | 57.7 | 255 |
| 2025/09/23 | 57.8 | 59.5 | 57.6 | 59.1 | 331 |
| 2025/09/24 | 59.7 | 60.5 | 59.7 | 59.9 | 398 |
| 2025/09/25 | 60.6 | 61 | 59.8 | 60 | 266 |
| 2025/09/26 | 60 | 60.5 | 59.7 | 60.2 | 198 |
| 2025/09/30 | 60.2 | 60.2 | 59.6 | 60 | 296 |
| 2025/10/01 | 60 | 60.8 | 60 | 60 | 89 |
| 2025/10/02 | 60 | 60.1 | 59.5 | 59.7 | 264 |
| 2025/10/03 | 59.9 | 59.9 | 58.7 | 58.9 | 367 |
| 2025/10/07 | 59 | 59.4 | 58.1 | 59.1 | 204 |
| 2025/10/08 | 59 | 59.4 | 58 | 59.1 | 242 |
| 2025/10/09 | 59.9 | 60.1 | 59.4 | 59.7 | 269 |
| 2025/10/13 | 59 | 59 | 58.4 | 58.9 | 368 |
| 2025/10/14 | 59.8 | 59.8 | 58.3 | 58.3 | 217 |
| 2025/10/15 | 59.2 | 59.2 | 58 | 58 | 118 |
| 2025/10/16 | 58.3 | 58.4 | 57.4 | 58.2 | 103 |
| 2025/10/17 | 58.4 | 59.9 | 58.4 | 59.1 | 146 |
| 2025/10/20 | 59.1 | 59.2 | 57.9 | 58.1 | 312 |
| 2025/10/21 | 58.4 | 58.8 | 57.9 | 58.3 | 129 |
| 2025/10/22 | 58.5 | 59.5 | 58.1 | 59.4 | 197 |
| 2025/10/23 | 59.3 | 59.4 | 58.6 | 59.3 | 130 |
| 2025/10/27 | 60 | 60 | 58.9 | 59.9 | 142 |
| 2025/10/28 | 59.9 | 59.9 | 58.5 | 59.3 | 305 |
| 2025/10/29 | 59.1 | 59.1 | 57.8 | 58.4 | 594 |
| 2025/10/30 | 58.1 | 58.1 | 57.6 | 57.7 | 121 |
| 2025/10/31 | 57.7 | 57.9 | 57.1 | 57.6 | 206 |
| 2025/11/03 | 57.6 | 57.6 | 56.5 | 56.6 | 235 |
| 2025/11/04 | 56.7 | 56.8 | 56.1 | 56.2 | 203 |
| 2025/11/05 | 56 | 56.6 | 55.6 | 56.2 | 177 |
| 2025/11/06 | 56.2 | 57.2 | 56.2 | 57 | 91 |
| 2025/11/07 | 57 | 57 | 55.8 | 56.2 | 282 |
| 2025/11/10 | 55 | 55 | 51.4 | 52.7 | 671 |
| 2025/11/11 | 52 | 52.7 | 50 | 50.7 | 891 |
| 2025/11/12 | 50.3 | 51.1 | 50.2 | 50.9 | 274 |
| 2025/11/13 | 50.9 | 51.2 | 49.9 | 49.95 | 531 |
| 2025/11/14 | 49.65 | 50.1 | 49.55 | 49.75 | 419 |
| 2025/11/17 | 50.1 | 50.1 | 48.6 | 49.15 | 447 |
| 2025/11/18 | 48.65 | 48.8 | 47.9 | 48.4 | 697 |
| 2025/11/19 | 48.95 | 48.95 | 48.3 | 48.55 | 125 |
| 2025/11/20 | 48.55 | 48.85 | 47.8 | 48.55 | 374 |
| 2025/11/21 | 48.55 | 48.55 | 46.9 | 47 | 647 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
以下內容由AI生成:
點擊查看。AI建議自動產生於:,輸入:市場模型。 旭富 (4119) 股票走勢分析與操作建議 未來趨勢判斷與…
旭富 (4119) 股票走勢分析與操作建議
未來趨勢判斷與理由
根據所提供的旭富 (4119) 最近 90 天 K 線圖,可以明確判斷未來數天或數週股價將持續呈現下跌趨勢。
理由如下:
- 長期均線壓制: 圖表中顯示,股價長期處於 MA5 (短期均線) 和 MA20 (長期均線) 的下方,且 MA5 已經明顯下彎,並持續壓制 MA20,這是一個典型的空頭排列訊號,顯示市場賣壓沉重。
- 股價不斷創新低: 近期股價呈現明顯的下跌走勢,並在 2025 年 11 月 21 日創下近期新低點,低於 50 元的整數關卡。這種持續跌破關鍵價位的行為,顯示空方力量強勁。
- 成交量變化: 雖然在近期下跌過程中,成交量有時會放大,尤其是在 11 月初和 11 月中旬出現較大的紅色成交量柱,這可能代表有賣盤介入,但股價並未因此止跌反彈,反而持續走低,暗示賣壓相當可觀。
- 量價關係: 在 11 月 21 日的下跌過程中,成交量並未呈現顯著放大,但股價仍創下新低,這可能意味著市場追價意願低迷,且願意以較低價格賣出的投資人仍存在,進一步加劇了下跌動能。
- 整體結構: 從 8 月份的高點約 63 元附近開始,股價一路下滑,經過短暫的盤整後,又再次啟動下跌。整體趨勢向下,缺乏明顯的反彈跡象。
未來目標價格區間
基於目前的技術指標和走勢,預計未來數天或數週,旭富 (4119) 的股價可能面臨進一步的下跌壓力。保守估計,若下跌趨勢持續,股價可能下探至 45 元至 48 元 的價格區間。
此區間的判斷主要基於以下觀察:
- 目前最低點已接近 47 元,若跌破此處,下一個較明顯的支撐點位可能在 45 元附近。
- MA20 均線目前約在 54 元附近,但其斜率持續向下,若股價持續下跌,MA20 勢必會進一步下移,並成為上檔壓力。
- 圖表中最低點的標記在 45 元,這可以作為一個參考的潛在支撐區域。
圖表數據分析
指標 圖表顯示 分析 K 線 紅色(上漲)與綠色(下跌)的蠟燭圖 圖表中顯示,自 2025 年 6 月初至今,股價整體呈現震盪向下趨勢。近期(2025 年 11 月以來)下跌幅度尤為明顯,綠色蠟燭圖(下跌)居多,且實體較長,表明賣壓較大。在 2025 年 11 月 21 日,出現一根長長的綠色蠟燭圖,將股價摜破 50 元關卡。
MA5 (短期均線) 綠色線 MA5 呈現明顯的向下彎折趨勢,且一直位於股價下方,表明短期內的賣壓相當強勁。近期 MA5 快速下行,緊貼著股價,顯示市場情緒偏空。
MA20 (長期均線) 橘黃色線 MA20 同樣呈現向下傾斜趨勢,並且 MA5 已經明顯摜破 MA20,形成空頭排列。MA20 的位置大約在 54 元上方,但正持續下移,預計將成為未來股價反彈時的強力阻力。
成交量 藍色柱狀圖 成交量在整體下跌過程中,有時出現放大現象,特別是在 11 月初和 11 月中旬,曾有較大的紅色(代表賣出)成交量柱。然而,這些放大成交量並未扭轉下跌趨勢,反而伴隨著股價的持續下挫。在 11 月 21 日的下跌日,成交量並未異常放大,這可能暗示市場追價意願不足,但仍有賣壓持續釋放。
價格範圍 約 47 元至 70 元 圖表顯示的股價範圍顯示,股價從最高點 70 元附近一路下跌至目前的 47 元左右,跌幅已相當可觀。股價已跌破關鍵的 50 元整數關卡,顯示壓力沉重。
操作建議
針對散戶投資人,對於「XX 股票可以買嗎」這樣的疑問,對於旭富 (4119) 目前的走勢,我的明確建議是:暫時不宜買進,應以觀望為主,甚至考慮避開。
具體操作建議如下:
- 嚴格空手觀望: 目前股價處於明顯的空頭趨勢,技術指標均顯示向下壓力,追高買入風險極高。散戶投資人應避免在此時進場承接。
- 嚴控風險,勿搶短反彈: 雖然市場上偶爾會有技術性反彈,但在整體趨勢未改變前,任何反彈都可能只是賣出或逃命的機會。散戶應避免試圖在下跌過程中搶短。
- 關注基本面與消息面: 技術分析提供了趨勢的線索,但長期的投資決策還需結合公司的基本面(營收、獲利、產業前景等)以及重大消息面。如果公司基本面出現重大利空,則技術面的弱勢將得到進一步印證。
- 設定停損紀律: 若已有持股,應嚴格設定停損點,防止虧損擴大。根據目前的趨勢,若股價再次突破關鍵支撐位,應及時出場。
- 耐心等待趨勢反轉: 投資人應等待出現明確的止跌訊號,例如股價築底、均線重新形成多頭排列、成交量配合上漲等,才能考慮進場。目前來看,這些條件均未出現。
趨勢預測與目標區間重申
綜合以上分析,旭富 (4119) 在未來數天或數週內,預計將繼續維持下跌趨勢。股價可能進一步下探,目標價格區間預計在 45 元至 48 元 。
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
| 日期 | 100張以下持股比例 | 100~1000張持股比例 | 1000張以上持股比例 | 總股東人數 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/09/20 | 44.31% | 14.35% | 41.28% | 26,429 |
| 2024/09/27 | 44.26% | 14.39% | 41.28% | 26,378 |
| 2024/10/04 | 44.31% | 14.35% | 41.28% | 26,341 |
| 2024/10/11 | 44.06% | 14.58% | 41.28% | 26,275 |
| 2024/10/18 | 44.23% | 14.43% | 41.28% | 26,226 |
| 2024/10/25 | 44.02% | 14.64% | 41.28% | 26,201 |
| 2024/11/01 | 44.11% | 14.55% | 41.28% | 26,188 |
| 2024/11/08 | 44% | 14.65% | 41.28% | 26,162 |
| 2024/11/15 | 43.8% | 14.86% | 41.28% | 26,198 |
| 2024/11/22 | 43.34% | 15.32% | 41.28% | 26,061 |
| 2024/11/29 | 43.09% | 14.81% | 42.02% | 25,921 |
| 2024/12/06 | 42.83% | 15.23% | 41.87% | 25,855 |
| 2024/12/13 | 42.88% | 15.17% | 41.88% | 25,776 |
| 2024/12/20 | 42.78% | 15.28% | 41.88% | 25,748 |
| 2024/12/27 | 42.61% | 15.43% | 41.88% | 25,764 |
| 2025/01/03 | 42.68% | 15.36% | 41.88% | 25,787 |
| 2025/01/10 | 42.56% | 15.47% | 41.89% | 25,795 |
| 2025/01/17 | 43.29% | 14.75% | 41.89% | 25,878 |
| 2025/01/22 | 43.32% | 14.71% | 41.89% | 25,890 |
| 2025/02/07 | 43.51% | 14.52% | 41.9% | 26,023 |
| 2025/02/14 | 43.52% | 14.43% | 41.96% | 26,114 |
| 2025/02/21 | 43.47% | 14.5% | 41.97% | 26,251 |
| 2025/02/27 | 43.47% | 14.5% | 41.97% | 26,347 |
| 2025/03/07 | 43.48% | 14.47% | 41.97% | 26,432 |
| 2025/03/14 | 43.47% | 14.54% | 41.92% | 26,916 |
| 2025/03/21 | 43.35% | 14.71% | 41.88% | 27,438 |
| 2025/03/28 | 43.53% | 14.55% | 41.86% | 28,087 |
| 2025/04/02 | 43.57% | 14.51% | 41.86% | 27,753 |
| 2025/04/11 | 43.4% | 14.65% | 41.87% | 27,738 |
| 2025/04/18 | 43.3% | 14.8% | 41.84% | 27,720 |
| 2025/04/25 | 43.16% | 14.93% | 41.84% | 27,707 |
| 2025/05/02 | 43.22% | 14.88% | 41.84% | 27,674 |
| 2025/05/09 | 43.06% | 15.01% | 41.85% | 27,666 |
| 2025/05/16 | 42.99% | 15.12% | 41.83% | 27,651 |
| 2025/05/23 | 43.07% | 15.03% | 41.83% | 27,627 |
| 2025/05/29 | 43.22% | 14.87% | 41.83% | 27,616 |
| 2025/06/06 | 43.2% | 14.9% | 41.83% | 27,637 |
| 2025/06/13 | 43.02% | 15.07% | 41.84% | 27,597 |
| 2025/06/20 | 43.08% | 15% | 41.83% | 27,567 |
| 2025/06/27 | 43.19% | 14.91% | 41.83% | 27,563 |
| 2025/07/04 | 43.27% | 14.81% | 41.83% | 27,567 |
| 2025/07/11 | 43.24% | 14.87% | 41.84% | 27,528 |
| 2025/07/18 | 43.27% | 14.82% | 41.84% | 27,515 |
| 2025/07/25 | 43.31% | 14.77% | 41.84% | 27,488 |
| 2025/08/01 | 43.25% | 14.85% | 41.84% | 27,500 |
| 2025/08/08 | 43.1% | 14.96% | 41.87% | 27,495 |
| 2025/08/15 | 43.07% | 14.88% | 41.99% | 27,435 |
| 2025/08/22 | 43.02% | 14.89% | 42.01% | 27,402 |
| 2025/08/29 | 43.03% | 14.89% | 42.01% | 27,364 |
| 2025/09/05 | 43% | 14.91% | 42.01% | 27,382 |
| 2025/09/12 | 43.3% | 14.6% | 42.03% | 27,330 |
| 2025/09/19 | 43.04% | 15.02% | 41.87% | 27,303 |
| 2025/09/26 | 43.14% | 14.93% | 41.87% | 27,297 |
| 2025/10/03 | 43.18% | 14.88% | 41.87% | 27,262 |
| 2025/10/09 | 43.09% | 14.98% | 41.88% | 27,223 |
| 2025/10/17 | 43.14% | 14.96% | 41.83% | 27,207 |
| 2025/10/23 | 42.86% | 15.23% | 41.83% | 27,183 |
| 2025/10/31 | 42.87% | 15.24% | 41.83% | 27,162 |
| 2025/11/07 | 42.7% | 15.38% | 41.84% | 27,150 |
| 2025/11/14 | 43.13% | 14.97% | 41.82% | 27,134 |
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