正達(3149)股票可以買嗎?K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期:
,每天14:00後更新。
本日股價資訊
| 開 |
高 |
低 |
收 |
| 34.05 |
34.85 |
33.8 |
34.3 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
每日股價資訊
| 日期 |
開盤價 |
最高價 |
最低價 |
收盤價 |
成交量 |
| 2025/06/03 |
32.15 |
33 |
31.8 |
32.5 |
1,431 |
| 2025/06/04 |
33.15 |
33.15 |
32.15 |
32.2 |
1,199 |
| 2025/06/05 |
32.2 |
33.5 |
32.2 |
32.6 |
1,209 |
| 2025/06/06 |
32.6 |
35 |
32.55 |
34.75 |
3,066 |
| 2025/06/09 |
34.9 |
35 |
33.15 |
33.7 |
1,849 |
| 2025/06/10 |
33.15 |
34.25 |
33.15 |
33.95 |
1,093 |
| 2025/06/11 |
34.3 |
34.75 |
33.35 |
34.15 |
1,477 |
| 2025/06/12 |
34.15 |
34.15 |
32.9 |
33.1 |
1,846 |
| 2025/06/13 |
33.1 |
33.1 |
32.4 |
32.4 |
963 |
| 2025/06/16 |
32.3 |
32.45 |
31.85 |
32.15 |
743 |
| 2025/06/17 |
32.5 |
32.6 |
31.85 |
32.1 |
760 |
| 2025/06/18 |
32.1 |
32.7 |
31.9 |
32.2 |
865 |
| 2025/06/19 |
32.2 |
32.2 |
30 |
31 |
2,278 |
| 2025/06/20 |
31 |
32.5 |
30.25 |
32 |
1,656 |
| 2025/06/23 |
31.1 |
31.3 |
30.1 |
31.1 |
1,581 |
| 2025/06/24 |
31.6 |
34.2 |
31.6 |
34.2 |
5,558 |
| 2025/06/25 |
33.7 |
34.15 |
33 |
33 |
2,785 |
| 2025/06/26 |
33.4 |
33.7 |
32.8 |
32.9 |
1,349 |
| 2025/06/27 |
33.15 |
33.4 |
32.9 |
33.05 |
839 |
| 2025/06/30 |
33 |
33 |
31.6 |
31.6 |
1,488 |
| 2025/07/01 |
31.7 |
32.35 |
31.45 |
31.45 |
934 |
| 2025/07/02 |
31.45 |
31.7 |
31.25 |
31.4 |
532 |
| 2025/07/03 |
31.85 |
32.05 |
31.55 |
31.55 |
605 |
| 2025/07/04 |
31.65 |
31.8 |
30.75 |
30.75 |
1,052 |
| 2025/07/07 |
30.85 |
30.95 |
30.1 |
30.45 |
548 |
| 2025/07/08 |
30.2 |
30.6 |
30.1 |
30.4 |
492 |
| 2025/07/09 |
30.4 |
30.75 |
30.3 |
30.3 |
588 |
| 2025/07/10 |
30.3 |
30.95 |
30.2 |
30.3 |
656 |
| 2025/07/11 |
30.1 |
30.5 |
30.1 |
30.3 |
390 |
| 2025/07/14 |
30.35 |
30.65 |
30.05 |
30.1 |
429 |
| 2025/07/15 |
30 |
30.35 |
30 |
30.1 |
392 |
| 2025/07/16 |
30.2 |
30.55 |
30.15 |
30.2 |
528 |
| 2025/07/17 |
30.35 |
30.65 |
30.3 |
30.3 |
530 |
| 2025/07/18 |
30.45 |
30.55 |
30.05 |
30.05 |
724 |
| 2025/07/21 |
30.1 |
30.5 |
29.2 |
30 |
1,007 |
| 2025/07/22 |
30.05 |
31.7 |
29.55 |
30.7 |
2,037 |
| 2025/07/23 |
30.9 |
31.6 |
30.55 |
30.75 |
1,238 |
| 2025/07/24 |
31.55 |
31.6 |
30.9 |
31.15 |
771 |
| 2025/07/25 |
31.15 |
31.15 |
30.55 |
30.55 |
797 |
| 2025/07/28 |
30.7 |
31.2 |
30.7 |
30.9 |
431 |
| 2025/07/29 |
30.95 |
30.95 |
30.15 |
30.15 |
690 |
| 2025/07/30 |
30.2 |
30.5 |
30.05 |
30.25 |
448 |
| 2025/07/31 |
30.4 |
30.75 |
30.1 |
30.25 |
558 |
| 2025/08/01 |
30 |
31.4 |
29.55 |
31.2 |
1,210 |
| 2025/08/04 |
30.9 |
31.2 |
30.7 |
31 |
739 |
| 2025/08/05 |
31.5 |
31.95 |
31 |
31.5 |
1,118 |
| 2025/08/06 |
31.6 |
31.6 |
30.8 |
30.8 |
936 |
| 2025/08/07 |
31.05 |
31.35 |
30.65 |
30.65 |
440 |
| 2025/08/08 |
30.95 |
32.25 |
30.95 |
31.75 |
1,187 |
| 2025/08/11 |
31.5 |
31.55 |
30.7 |
31.25 |
1,005 |
| 2025/08/12 |
31.5 |
31.75 |
31.2 |
31.4 |
600 |
| 2025/08/13 |
31.45 |
33.25 |
31.45 |
32.6 |
2,092 |
| 2025/08/14 |
32.8 |
33.8 |
32.5 |
32.5 |
2,948 |
| 2025/08/15 |
32.9 |
33.25 |
32.1 |
33.05 |
1,319 |
| 2025/08/18 |
33.2 |
35.8 |
32.9 |
35.25 |
3,873 |
| 2025/08/19 |
35.1 |
35.1 |
33.7 |
34.2 |
2,949 |
| 2025/08/20 |
34.1 |
34.3 |
33.35 |
33.85 |
1,399 |
| 2025/08/21 |
34.5 |
36.1 |
34.1 |
35.2 |
2,302 |
| 2025/08/22 |
36.5 |
37.8 |
34.5 |
35.6 |
9,672 |
| 2025/08/25 |
36.9 |
37.75 |
36.15 |
36.45 |
7,698 |
| 2025/08/26 |
36.8 |
37.25 |
35.7 |
35.9 |
4,712 |
| 2025/08/27 |
36.35 |
39.45 |
36.15 |
39.45 |
10,054 |
| 2025/08/28 |
39.85 |
40.85 |
37.7 |
38.5 |
15,185 |
| 2025/08/29 |
39.2 |
39.85 |
38.5 |
39.4 |
4,811 |
| 2025/09/01 |
39.4 |
39.85 |
38.55 |
38.85 |
3,567 |
| 2025/09/02 |
39.4 |
40.35 |
37.95 |
39.5 |
5,522 |
| 2025/09/03 |
39.2 |
40.1 |
38.8 |
39.45 |
2,489 |
| 2025/09/04 |
39.75 |
40.45 |
38.8 |
38.8 |
6,293 |
| 2025/09/05 |
39.15 |
39.8 |
38.65 |
39.3 |
2,515 |
| 2025/09/08 |
39.7 |
40.35 |
39.1 |
39.3 |
3,844 |
| 2025/09/09 |
38.8 |
39.2 |
37.05 |
37.55 |
11,041 |
| 2025/09/10 |
37.6 |
38.3 |
37.4 |
37.55 |
2,601 |
| 2025/09/11 |
38.1 |
38.55 |
37.25 |
37.65 |
2,449 |
| 2025/09/12 |
38.3 |
38.3 |
35.65 |
35.8 |
8,988 |
| 2025/09/15 |
36 |
36.4 |
35.4 |
35.4 |
1,884 |
| 2025/09/16 |
35.4 |
38.9 |
35.2 |
38.9 |
7,520 |
| 2025/09/17 |
38.6 |
40 |
38.35 |
38.9 |
6,700 |
| 2025/09/18 |
38.95 |
42.3 |
38.95 |
41.75 |
13,831 |
| 2025/09/19 |
41.4 |
43.1 |
41.3 |
41.9 |
14,070 |
| 2025/09/22 |
43.05 |
45 |
43 |
44.5 |
18,370 |
| 2025/09/23 |
46 |
46.8 |
43 |
44.3 |
19,252 |
| 2025/09/24 |
44.3 |
44.3 |
42 |
42.7 |
12,415 |
| 2025/09/25 |
42.9 |
43.3 |
41.8 |
42.45 |
6,880 |
| 2025/09/26 |
42.25 |
42.25 |
40.65 |
41 |
4,276 |
| 2025/09/30 |
41.55 |
42.65 |
41.4 |
41.55 |
2,777 |
| 2025/10/01 |
42 |
44.9 |
41.85 |
43.4 |
12,857 |
| 2025/10/02 |
43.6 |
44.7 |
43 |
43.3 |
9,448 |
| 2025/10/03 |
43.3 |
44.35 |
42.65 |
43.8 |
4,188 |
| 2025/10/07 |
44.4 |
44.75 |
43.4 |
44.7 |
6,778 |
| 2025/10/08 |
44.95 |
46.3 |
44.7 |
46.2 |
11,088 |
| 2025/10/09 |
46.5 |
46.55 |
45.1 |
45.15 |
12,799 |
| 2025/10/13 |
41.35 |
43.3 |
41.3 |
42.55 |
8,483 |
| 2025/10/14 |
44 |
44.6 |
40.8 |
40.8 |
7,690 |
| 2025/10/15 |
41 |
42.05 |
40.2 |
40.4 |
4,217 |
| 2025/10/16 |
40.4 |
40.9 |
39.15 |
39.7 |
4,854 |
| 2025/10/17 |
39.7 |
39.9 |
37.3 |
37.7 |
5,473 |
| 2025/10/20 |
38.05 |
38.95 |
37.7 |
38.7 |
2,904 |
| 2025/10/21 |
39 |
39 |
38.25 |
38.35 |
2,329 |
| 2025/10/22 |
38.5 |
39.5 |
38.35 |
38.45 |
2,513 |
| 2025/10/23 |
38.2 |
38.2 |
37.5 |
37.65 |
2,682 |
| 2025/10/27 |
38 |
38.4 |
37.65 |
38.15 |
1,268 |
| 2025/10/28 |
38.4 |
38.4 |
37.35 |
37.45 |
1,753 |
| 2025/10/29 |
37.7 |
38.5 |
37.6 |
37.9 |
1,956 |
| 2025/10/30 |
38.1 |
38.45 |
36.65 |
36.85 |
3,162 |
| 2025/10/31 |
36.85 |
37.15 |
36.55 |
36.6 |
1,574 |
| 2025/11/03 |
36.8 |
38.15 |
36.7 |
37.5 |
2,046 |
| 2025/11/04 |
37.65 |
37.9 |
36.35 |
36.45 |
2,324 |
| 2025/11/05 |
35.6 |
37.55 |
35.1 |
36.95 |
1,653 |
| 2025/11/06 |
37.5 |
39.8 |
37.1 |
39.35 |
3,385 |
| 2025/11/07 |
38.9 |
39.6 |
38.25 |
38.6 |
2,470 |
| 2025/11/10 |
39.3 |
39.3 |
37.05 |
38.55 |
4,687 |
| 2025/11/11 |
38.85 |
38.85 |
36.5 |
37 |
2,656 |
| 2025/11/12 |
37.5 |
38.6 |
37.5 |
37.7 |
1,569 |
| 2025/11/13 |
38.25 |
38.25 |
36.9 |
37.1 |
2,098 |
| 2025/11/14 |
36.7 |
37.1 |
36 |
36.45 |
1,497 |
| 2025/11/17 |
36.7 |
36.95 |
34.6 |
34.7 |
2,163 |
| 2025/11/18 |
34.5 |
35.25 |
33.95 |
34.1 |
1,700 |
| 2025/11/19 |
34.1 |
34.45 |
33.3 |
33.75 |
1,296 |
| 2025/11/20 |
34.8 |
34.9 |
34.2 |
34.8 |
963 |
| 2025/11/21 |
34.05 |
34.85 |
33.8 |
34.3 |
1,288 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
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3149 (正達) 股票走勢分析與操作建議
針對正達 (3…
3149 (正達) 股票走勢分析與操作建議
針對正達 (3149) 股票,綜合圖表所示的近期走勢,預計未來數天至數週股價將面臨持續下跌的壓力。主要判斷依據為:短期均線 (MA5) 已明顯下彎並跌破長期均線 (MA20),此為典型的空頭排列訊號,顯示市場趨勢轉弱。此外,近期股價已跌破前波整理區間的下緣,且量能並未出現明顯的止跌訊號,顯示賣壓仍持續。
一、 近期股價走勢詳細分析
觀察正達 (3149) 近 90 天的 K 線圖,可分為以下幾個階段進行分析:
1. 2025 年 6 月初至 7 月中旬:緩慢盤整與探底
此階段股價處於較低的位置,大致落在 29 至 33 元之間波動。MA5 與 MA20 均呈現向下或橫盤整理的態勢,股價多在兩條均線之間游走,顯示多空力道較為膠著,並無明顯的上漲或下跌趨勢。成交量柱狀圖顯示此期間交易相對清淡,缺乏較大的進場或出場動能。
2. 2025 年 7 月下旬至 9 月下旬:強勁上漲階段
從 7 月下旬開始,股價出現明顯的攻擊訊號。MA5 開始向上彎折,並在 8 月初突破 MA20,形成黃金交叉。此後,MA5 持續向上攀升,股價也跟隨強勢上漲,一度衝高至 47 元上方。此階段的 K 線圖顯示多根帶有長上影線或實體紅 K,且伴隨成交量的放大,顯示市場積極追價意願濃厚,為一波多頭行情。MA5 與 MA20 持續向上延伸,呈現多頭排列。
3. 2025 年 9 月下旬至 10 月底:高檔震盪與初步修正
在 9 月下旬觸及波段高點後,股價開始進入高檔震盪。MA5 與 MA20 雖然仍糾纏在一起,但股價的波動幅度加大,出現了帶有長上影線的紅 K 及實體綠 K 交替出現,顯示多方動能有所減緩,但空方尚未佔據絕對優勢。成交量在這個階段依然維持一定的水平,但缺乏持續放大的動能。
4. 2025 年 11 月初至今:明顯下跌趨勢
自 11 月初起,股價走勢出現明顯的轉折。MA5 開始快速向下彎折,並在 11 月中旬跌破 MA20,形成了死亡交叉。此為重要的空頭訊號。隨後,股價持續下跌,並在 11 月 21 日(圖表最後交易日)收盤價約在 33 元附近。此期間的 K 線圖多為實體綠 K,且成交量柱狀圖顯示近期出現了幾波相對較大的成交量,尤其是在下跌的過程中,量能的放大可能意味著籌碼的鬆動與賣壓的出籠。MA5 與 MA20 持續向下延伸,呈現空頭排列。
二、 未來目標價格區間預測
基於上述分析,尤其是 MA5 跌破 MA20 的空頭排列訊號,以及近期股價持續下跌且量能出現疑慮,預計短期內股價將繼續承壓。
若以技術面來看,前波的低點支撐大約在 30 元附近。然而,考量到目前空頭趨勢的確立,股價有可能測試甚至跌破此支撐。
因此,我預計未來數天至數週,正達 (3149) 的股價可能處於 29 元至 33 元 的區間。若空方力量持續增強,不排除下探至 28 元以下的可能。
三、 操作建議(針對散戶投資人)
針對「XX股票可以買嗎」這個疑問,對於正達 (3149) 在當前的走勢下,我的建議是:暫時不宜追價買進,應以保守觀望為主。
以下是針對散戶投資人的具體操作建議:
* 謹慎買入,勿搶短: 目前技術面顯示空頭趨勢明顯,追價買入的風險較高。散戶投資人應避免在下跌趨勢中「抄底」,以免陷入被套牢的窘境。
* 等待明確止跌訊號: 若要考慮進場,應等待股價出現明顯的止跌訊號,例如:
* MA5 止跌回穩並有向上勾頭的跡象,且與 MA20 的距離開始收斂。
* 出現連續的陽線,且成交量並未伴隨下跌的賣壓。
* 股價成功站穩前波低點 (約 30 元) 並呈現價穩量縮。
* 嚴設停損: 若已有部位,應嚴格執行停損計畫。在股價跌破重要支撐位時,果斷出場,避免損失擴大。
* 多方評估基本面: 技術分析僅為其中一個面向,投資人仍應關注該公司的基本面,如營收、獲利能力、產業前景等。若基本面並無明顯利空,技術面可能提供反彈的機會。但就目前圖表來看,技術面警訊較為顯著。
* 小額試單: 若對該股票仍有興趣,可以在風險可控的前提下,採取極小額的試單方式,以觀察後續走勢,但這不是主流的建議。
總體而言,目前正達 (3149) 的股票走勢偏向空方,散戶投資人應以保守、觀望為上策,避免逆勢操作。
四、 總結與重申
綜合以上分析,正達 (3149) 的股票在 2025 年 11 月 21 日最後交易日為止,已呈現明顯的下跌趨勢。MA5 跌破 MA20 的空頭排列,以及近期量價關係的變化,都指向未來數天至數週股價可能繼續下探。
預計未來目標價格區間落在 29 元至 33 元,若趨勢持續,不排除下探至 28 元以下。
針對散戶投資人的操作建議為:暫時不宜買進,應以觀望為主,並等待明確的止跌訊號出現。若已有部位,則需嚴設停損。
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
每週股權分散表分級資料
| 日期 |
100張以下持股比例 |
100~1000張持股比例 |
1000張以上持股比例 |
總股東人數 |
| 2024/09/20 |
48.63% |
20.36% |
30.95% |
36,309 |
| 2024/09/27 |
49.08% |
19.59% |
31.26% |
37,325 |
| 2024/10/04 |
49.65% |
19.03% |
31.24% |
37,640 |
| 2024/10/11 |
44.41% |
18.95% |
36.56% |
35,437 |
| 2024/10/18 |
50.76% |
17.96% |
31.2% |
41,027 |
| 2024/10/25 |
52.24% |
16.02% |
31.67% |
41,830 |
| 2024/11/01 |
53.28% |
16.2% |
30.47% |
42,038 |
| 2024/11/08 |
56.08% |
15.46% |
28.37% |
43,664 |
| 2024/11/15 |
59.9% |
16.68% |
23.35% |
45,105 |
| 2024/11/22 |
59.15% |
15.87% |
24.9% |
44,567 |
| 2024/11/29 |
58.69% |
15.47% |
25.75% |
44,094 |
| 2024/12/06 |
58.87% |
15.38% |
25.67% |
43,958 |
| 2024/12/13 |
58.85% |
15.23% |
25.86% |
43,965 |
| 2024/12/20 |
57.44% |
16.1% |
26.41% |
43,342 |
| 2024/12/27 |
59.55% |
16.4% |
23.99% |
45,633 |
| 2025/01/03 |
61.06% |
15.48% |
23.4% |
46,161 |
| 2025/01/10 |
61.02% |
14.91% |
24.01% |
46,018 |
| 2025/01/17 |
61.66% |
14.3% |
23.97% |
45,900 |
| 2025/01/22 |
61.4% |
13.9% |
24.62% |
45,729 |
| 2025/02/07 |
60.79% |
14.43% |
24.71% |
45,513 |
| 2025/02/14 |
60.31% |
14.76% |
24.84% |
45,179 |
| 2025/02/21 |
61.34% |
14.01% |
24.57% |
47,149 |
| 2025/02/27 |
61.32% |
13.97% |
24.64% |
47,051 |
| 2025/03/07 |
59.63% |
14.62% |
25.69% |
46,207 |
| 2025/03/14 |
55.53% |
16.34% |
28.07% |
43,692 |
| 2025/03/21 |
55.77% |
16.75% |
27.4% |
43,660 |
| 2025/03/28 |
55.3% |
17.7% |
26.91% |
43,644 |
| 2025/04/02 |
54.88% |
16.92% |
28.14% |
43,439 |
| 2025/04/11 |
53.91% |
16.78% |
29.27% |
43,207 |
| 2025/04/18 |
53.88% |
16.92% |
29.12% |
44,309 |
| 2025/04/25 |
54.84% |
16.7% |
28.39% |
44,424 |
| 2025/05/02 |
54.32% |
17.28% |
28.34% |
44,188 |
| 2025/05/09 |
53.81% |
17.44% |
28.66% |
43,855 |
| 2025/05/16 |
40.12% |
13.1% |
46.71% |
41,850 |
| 2025/05/23 |
42.71% |
15.66% |
41.54% |
43,160 |
| 2025/05/29 |
45.19% |
15.83% |
38.94% |
44,024 |
| 2025/06/06 |
46.18% |
16.46% |
37.31% |
44,363 |
| 2025/06/13 |
46.58% |
16.68% |
36.65% |
44,152 |
| 2025/06/20 |
47.14% |
16.91% |
35.88% |
44,261 |
| 2025/06/27 |
47.13% |
18.16% |
34.65% |
44,432 |
| 2025/07/04 |
47.82% |
17.92% |
34.19% |
44,486 |
| 2025/07/11 |
48.16% |
18.72% |
33.04% |
44,575 |
| 2025/07/18 |
48.24% |
18.78% |
32.9% |
44,553 |
| 2025/07/25 |
48.62% |
18.54% |
32.77% |
44,413 |
| 2025/08/01 |
48.65% |
18.63% |
32.64% |
44,287 |
| 2025/08/08 |
48.6% |
18.72% |
32.61% |
44,159 |
| 2025/08/15 |
48.38% |
18.97% |
32.59% |
43,956 |
| 2025/08/22 |
47.09% |
20.1% |
32.73% |
42,989 |
| 2025/08/29 |
44.3% |
20.07% |
35.57% |
41,703 |
| 2025/09/05 |
42.7% |
20.12% |
37.12% |
40,623 |
| 2025/09/12 |
41.71% |
21.13% |
37.08% |
40,143 |
| 2025/09/19 |
41.15% |
21.04% |
37.75% |
39,511 |
| 2025/09/26 |
40.27% |
20.82% |
38.82% |
39,115 |
| 2025/10/03 |
40.79% |
20.27% |
38.84% |
39,635 |
| 2025/10/09 |
39.15% |
20.54% |
40.24% |
38,258 |
| 2025/10/17 |
42% |
21.35% |
36.57% |
39,969 |
| 2025/10/23 |
42.67% |
21.18% |
36.07% |
40,181 |
| 2025/10/31 |
43.12% |
20.73% |
36.07% |
40,052 |
| 2025/11/07 |
42.6% |
21.16% |
36.17% |
39,720 |
| 2025/11/14 |
43.32% |
21.36% |
35.23% |
39,773 |
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