正達（3149）股票可以買嗎？K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期：
，每天14:00後更新。
本日股價資訊
| 開 |
高 |
低 |
收 |
| 34.8 |
34.9 |
34.2 |
34.8 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
每日股價資訊
| 日期 |
開盤價 |
最高價 |
最低價 |
收盤價 |
成交量 |
| 2025/06/02 |
32.1 |
32.15 |
30.9 |
31.7 |
2,013 |
| 2025/06/03 |
32.15 |
33 |
31.8 |
32.5 |
1,431 |
| 2025/06/04 |
33.15 |
33.15 |
32.15 |
32.2 |
1,199 |
| 2025/06/05 |
32.2 |
33.5 |
32.2 |
32.6 |
1,209 |
| 2025/06/06 |
32.6 |
35 |
32.55 |
34.75 |
3,066 |
| 2025/06/09 |
34.9 |
35 |
33.15 |
33.7 |
1,849 |
| 2025/06/10 |
33.15 |
34.25 |
33.15 |
33.95 |
1,093 |
| 2025/06/11 |
34.3 |
34.75 |
33.35 |
34.15 |
1,477 |
| 2025/06/12 |
34.15 |
34.15 |
32.9 |
33.1 |
1,846 |
| 2025/06/13 |
33.1 |
33.1 |
32.4 |
32.4 |
963 |
| 2025/06/16 |
32.3 |
32.45 |
31.85 |
32.15 |
743 |
| 2025/06/17 |
32.5 |
32.6 |
31.85 |
32.1 |
760 |
| 2025/06/18 |
32.1 |
32.7 |
31.9 |
32.2 |
865 |
| 2025/06/19 |
32.2 |
32.2 |
30 |
31 |
2,278 |
| 2025/06/20 |
31 |
32.5 |
30.25 |
32 |
1,656 |
| 2025/06/23 |
31.1 |
31.3 |
30.1 |
31.1 |
1,581 |
| 2025/06/24 |
31.6 |
34.2 |
31.6 |
34.2 |
5,558 |
| 2025/06/25 |
33.7 |
34.15 |
33 |
33 |
2,785 |
| 2025/06/26 |
33.4 |
33.7 |
32.8 |
32.9 |
1,349 |
| 2025/06/27 |
33.15 |
33.4 |
32.9 |
33.05 |
839 |
| 2025/06/30 |
33 |
33 |
31.6 |
31.6 |
1,488 |
| 2025/07/01 |
31.7 |
32.35 |
31.45 |
31.45 |
934 |
| 2025/07/02 |
31.45 |
31.7 |
31.25 |
31.4 |
532 |
| 2025/07/03 |
31.85 |
32.05 |
31.55 |
31.55 |
605 |
| 2025/07/04 |
31.65 |
31.8 |
30.75 |
30.75 |
1,052 |
| 2025/07/07 |
30.85 |
30.95 |
30.1 |
30.45 |
548 |
| 2025/07/08 |
30.2 |
30.6 |
30.1 |
30.4 |
492 |
| 2025/07/09 |
30.4 |
30.75 |
30.3 |
30.3 |
588 |
| 2025/07/10 |
30.3 |
30.95 |
30.2 |
30.3 |
656 |
| 2025/07/11 |
30.1 |
30.5 |
30.1 |
30.3 |
390 |
| 2025/07/14 |
30.35 |
30.65 |
30.05 |
30.1 |
429 |
| 2025/07/15 |
30 |
30.35 |
30 |
30.1 |
392 |
| 2025/07/16 |
30.2 |
30.55 |
30.15 |
30.2 |
528 |
| 2025/07/17 |
30.35 |
30.65 |
30.3 |
30.3 |
530 |
| 2025/07/18 |
30.45 |
30.55 |
30.05 |
30.05 |
724 |
| 2025/07/21 |
30.1 |
30.5 |
29.2 |
30 |
1,007 |
| 2025/07/22 |
30.05 |
31.7 |
29.55 |
30.7 |
2,037 |
| 2025/07/23 |
30.9 |
31.6 |
30.55 |
30.75 |
1,238 |
| 2025/07/24 |
31.55 |
31.6 |
30.9 |
31.15 |
771 |
| 2025/07/25 |
31.15 |
31.15 |
30.55 |
30.55 |
797 |
| 2025/07/28 |
30.7 |
31.2 |
30.7 |
30.9 |
431 |
| 2025/07/29 |
30.95 |
30.95 |
30.15 |
30.15 |
690 |
| 2025/07/30 |
30.2 |
30.5 |
30.05 |
30.25 |
448 |
| 2025/07/31 |
30.4 |
30.75 |
30.1 |
30.25 |
558 |
| 2025/08/01 |
30 |
31.4 |
29.55 |
31.2 |
1,210 |
| 2025/08/04 |
30.9 |
31.2 |
30.7 |
31 |
739 |
| 2025/08/05 |
31.5 |
31.95 |
31 |
31.5 |
1,118 |
| 2025/08/06 |
31.6 |
31.6 |
30.8 |
30.8 |
936 |
| 2025/08/07 |
31.05 |
31.35 |
30.65 |
30.65 |
440 |
| 2025/08/08 |
30.95 |
32.25 |
30.95 |
31.75 |
1,187 |
| 2025/08/11 |
31.5 |
31.55 |
30.7 |
31.25 |
1,005 |
| 2025/08/12 |
31.5 |
31.75 |
31.2 |
31.4 |
600 |
| 2025/08/13 |
31.45 |
33.25 |
31.45 |
32.6 |
2,092 |
| 2025/08/14 |
32.8 |
33.8 |
32.5 |
32.5 |
2,948 |
| 2025/08/15 |
32.9 |
33.25 |
32.1 |
33.05 |
1,319 |
| 2025/08/18 |
33.2 |
35.8 |
32.9 |
35.25 |
3,873 |
| 2025/08/19 |
35.1 |
35.1 |
33.7 |
34.2 |
2,949 |
| 2025/08/20 |
34.1 |
34.3 |
33.35 |
33.85 |
1,399 |
| 2025/08/21 |
34.5 |
36.1 |
34.1 |
35.2 |
2,302 |
| 2025/08/22 |
36.5 |
37.8 |
34.5 |
35.6 |
9,672 |
| 2025/08/25 |
36.9 |
37.75 |
36.15 |
36.45 |
7,698 |
| 2025/08/26 |
36.8 |
37.25 |
35.7 |
35.9 |
4,712 |
| 2025/08/27 |
36.35 |
39.45 |
36.15 |
39.45 |
10,054 |
| 2025/08/28 |
39.85 |
40.85 |
37.7 |
38.5 |
15,185 |
| 2025/08/29 |
39.2 |
39.85 |
38.5 |
39.4 |
4,811 |
| 2025/09/01 |
39.4 |
39.85 |
38.55 |
38.85 |
3,567 |
| 2025/09/02 |
39.4 |
40.35 |
37.95 |
39.5 |
5,522 |
| 2025/09/03 |
39.2 |
40.1 |
38.8 |
39.45 |
2,489 |
| 2025/09/04 |
39.75 |
40.45 |
38.8 |
38.8 |
6,293 |
| 2025/09/05 |
39.15 |
39.8 |
38.65 |
39.3 |
2,515 |
| 2025/09/08 |
39.7 |
40.35 |
39.1 |
39.3 |
3,844 |
| 2025/09/09 |
38.8 |
39.2 |
37.05 |
37.55 |
11,041 |
| 2025/09/10 |
37.6 |
38.3 |
37.4 |
37.55 |
2,601 |
| 2025/09/11 |
38.1 |
38.55 |
37.25 |
37.65 |
2,449 |
| 2025/09/12 |
38.3 |
38.3 |
35.65 |
35.8 |
8,988 |
| 2025/09/15 |
36 |
36.4 |
35.4 |
35.4 |
1,884 |
| 2025/09/16 |
35.4 |
38.9 |
35.2 |
38.9 |
7,520 |
| 2025/09/17 |
38.6 |
40 |
38.35 |
38.9 |
6,700 |
| 2025/09/18 |
38.95 |
42.3 |
38.95 |
41.75 |
13,831 |
| 2025/09/19 |
41.4 |
43.1 |
41.3 |
41.9 |
14,070 |
| 2025/09/22 |
43.05 |
45 |
43 |
44.5 |
18,370 |
| 2025/09/23 |
46 |
46.8 |
43 |
44.3 |
19,252 |
| 2025/09/24 |
44.3 |
44.3 |
42 |
42.7 |
12,415 |
| 2025/09/25 |
42.9 |
43.3 |
41.8 |
42.45 |
6,880 |
| 2025/09/26 |
42.25 |
42.25 |
40.65 |
41 |
4,276 |
| 2025/09/30 |
41.55 |
42.65 |
41.4 |
41.55 |
2,777 |
| 2025/10/01 |
42 |
44.9 |
41.85 |
43.4 |
12,857 |
| 2025/10/02 |
43.6 |
44.7 |
43 |
43.3 |
9,448 |
| 2025/10/03 |
43.3 |
44.35 |
42.65 |
43.8 |
4,188 |
| 2025/10/07 |
44.4 |
44.75 |
43.4 |
44.7 |
6,778 |
| 2025/10/08 |
44.95 |
46.3 |
44.7 |
46.2 |
11,088 |
| 2025/10/09 |
46.5 |
46.55 |
45.1 |
45.15 |
12,799 |
| 2025/10/13 |
41.35 |
43.3 |
41.3 |
42.55 |
8,483 |
| 2025/10/14 |
44 |
44.6 |
40.8 |
40.8 |
7,690 |
| 2025/10/15 |
41 |
42.05 |
40.2 |
40.4 |
4,217 |
| 2025/10/16 |
40.4 |
40.9 |
39.15 |
39.7 |
4,854 |
| 2025/10/17 |
39.7 |
39.9 |
37.3 |
37.7 |
5,473 |
| 2025/10/20 |
38.05 |
38.95 |
37.7 |
38.7 |
2,904 |
| 2025/10/21 |
39 |
39 |
38.25 |
38.35 |
2,329 |
| 2025/10/22 |
38.5 |
39.5 |
38.35 |
38.45 |
2,513 |
| 2025/10/23 |
38.2 |
38.2 |
37.5 |
37.65 |
2,682 |
| 2025/10/27 |
38 |
38.4 |
37.65 |
38.15 |
1,268 |
| 2025/10/28 |
38.4 |
38.4 |
37.35 |
37.45 |
1,753 |
| 2025/10/29 |
37.7 |
38.5 |
37.6 |
37.9 |
1,956 |
| 2025/10/30 |
38.1 |
38.45 |
36.65 |
36.85 |
3,162 |
| 2025/10/31 |
36.85 |
37.15 |
36.55 |
36.6 |
1,574 |
| 2025/11/03 |
36.8 |
38.15 |
36.7 |
37.5 |
2,046 |
| 2025/11/04 |
37.65 |
37.9 |
36.35 |
36.45 |
2,324 |
| 2025/11/05 |
35.6 |
37.55 |
35.1 |
36.95 |
1,653 |
| 2025/11/06 |
37.5 |
39.8 |
37.1 |
39.35 |
3,385 |
| 2025/11/07 |
38.9 |
39.6 |
38.25 |
38.6 |
2,470 |
| 2025/11/10 |
39.3 |
39.3 |
37.05 |
38.55 |
4,687 |
| 2025/11/11 |
38.85 |
38.85 |
36.5 |
37 |
2,656 |
| 2025/11/12 |
37.5 |
38.6 |
37.5 |
37.7 |
1,569 |
| 2025/11/13 |
38.25 |
38.25 |
36.9 |
37.1 |
2,098 |
| 2025/11/14 |
36.7 |
37.1 |
36 |
36.45 |
1,497 |
| 2025/11/17 |
36.7 |
36.95 |
34.6 |
34.7 |
2,163 |
| 2025/11/18 |
34.5 |
35.25 |
33.95 |
34.1 |
1,700 |
| 2025/11/19 |
34.1 |
34.45 |
33.3 |
33.75 |
1,296 |
| 2025/11/20 |
34.8 |
34.9 |
34.2 |
34.8 |
963 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
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正達 (3149) 股價走勢分析與操作建議
基於圖表所呈現…
正達 (3149) 股價走勢分析與操作建議
基於圖表所呈現的資訊，預計正達 (3149) 在未來數天或數週內，股價有極高的機率將持續下跌。此判斷主要基於以下觀察：
* 明顯的下降趨勢： 從 2025 年 9 月中旬觸及高點（約 45 元）以來，股價呈現連續的下跌走勢。
* 短期均線下彎並摜破長期均線： 代表 5 日移動平均線 (MA5) 在近期已多次下彎，並持續位於代表 20 日移動平均線 (MA20) 之上，這在技術分析上通常被視為短線疲弱的訊號。更重要的是，MA5 已明顯摜破 MA20，且 MA20 本身也呈現下彎趨勢，顯示整體趨勢已轉為向下。
* 成交量變化： 在下跌過程中，部分交易日的成交量柱狀圖顯示，雖然近期成交量並未異常放大，但股價下跌時並未見明顯的承接力道，顯示賣壓相對沉重。
* 最後交易日表現： 2025 年 11 月 20 日的 K 線圖顯示為一根紅色實體，代表當日股價下跌。最高價、最低價與收盤價的相對位置，也未顯示有明顯的反彈跡象。
* 與 MA20 的關係： MA20 在 2025 年 11 月 20 日約在 37 元附近，而當日收盤價已遠低於此，且差距逐漸擴大，顯示股價已進入明顯的空頭排列。
未來目標價格區間預測
考量到當前的下跌趨勢以及 MA5 和 MA20 的向下交叉，預計短期內股價將繼續尋找支撐。參考圖表顯示，在 2025 年 7 月份時，股價曾有過一段在 30 元左右的橫盤整理，隨後才開始上漲。因此，一個較為合理的短期目標價格區間將是 **29 元至 33 元**。若跌破 29 元，則可能進一步下探至更低的價位。
操作建議
針對「XX 股票可以買嗎」的疑問，特別是對於散戶投資人，在當前正達 (3149) 的技術面訊號顯示明顯向下趨勢時，本人的操作建議是：
暫時不建議買進。
理由如下：
1. 規避風險： 股價處於下跌趨勢中，此時買進很可能面臨持續的虧損。技術分析的指標顯示空頭訊號較為明確，市場情緒偏向賣方。
2. 等待反彈或止跌訊號： 投資人應等待股價出現止跌訊號，例如股價開始築底，MA5 重新穿越 MA20 並向上，或是有明顯的成交量配合上漲，再考慮進場。
3. 設定停損： 若投資人已有持股，務必嚴格設定停損點，避免損失擴大。以目前的趨勢判斷，若股價跌破 32 元，應考慮部分或全數出場。
4. 風險承受能力： 散戶投資人應評估自身的風險承受能力。對於風險偏好較低的投資人，應避免在下降趨勢中進行操作。
5. 觀察均線糾纏或黃金交叉： 雖然短期內不太可能發生，但若未來 MA5 與 MA20 能夠形成黃金交叉，且股價能夠站穩在 MA20 之上，則可以重新評估買進的機會。
總結
綜合以上分析，正達 (3149) 在 2025 年 11 月 20 日的最後交易時間點，股價呈現明顯的下跌趨勢，短期內預計將延續此趨勢，目標價格區間預估在 **29 元至 33 元**。對於散戶投資人而言，目前應以謹慎觀望為主，不建議在此時買進，應等待更明確的止跌或反彈訊號出現。若已有持股，則需嚴格執行停損策略。
| 指標 |
觀察 |
預測/建議 |
| 整體趨勢 |
明顯下跌趨勢 |
持續下跌 |
| MA5 vs MA20 |
MA5 摜破 MA20，MA20 下彎 |
空頭排列，趨勢向下 |
| 成交量 |
下跌時未見明顯承接 |
賣壓沉重 |
| 未來目標價格區間 |
參考前期支撐 |
29 元 - 33 元 |
| 操作建議 (散戶) |
風險評估 |
暫不買進，嚴格停損 |
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
每週股權分散表分級資料
| 日期 |
100張以下持股比例 |
100~1000張持股比例 |
1000張以上持股比例 |
總股東人數 |
| 2024/09/20 |
48.63% |
20.36% |
30.95% |
36,309 |
| 2024/09/27 |
49.08% |
19.59% |
31.26% |
37,325 |
| 2024/10/04 |
49.65% |
19.03% |
31.24% |
37,640 |
| 2024/10/11 |
44.41% |
18.95% |
36.56% |
35,437 |
| 2024/10/18 |
50.76% |
17.96% |
31.2% |
41,027 |
| 2024/10/25 |
52.24% |
16.02% |
31.67% |
41,830 |
| 2024/11/01 |
53.28% |
16.2% |
30.47% |
42,038 |
| 2024/11/08 |
56.08% |
15.46% |
28.37% |
43,664 |
| 2024/11/15 |
59.9% |
16.68% |
23.35% |
45,105 |
| 2024/11/22 |
59.15% |
15.87% |
24.9% |
44,567 |
| 2024/11/29 |
58.69% |
15.47% |
25.75% |
44,094 |
| 2024/12/06 |
58.87% |
15.38% |
25.67% |
43,958 |
| 2024/12/13 |
58.85% |
15.23% |
25.86% |
43,965 |
| 2024/12/20 |
57.44% |
16.1% |
26.41% |
43,342 |
| 2024/12/27 |
59.55% |
16.4% |
23.99% |
45,633 |
| 2025/01/03 |
61.06% |
15.48% |
23.4% |
46,161 |
| 2025/01/10 |
61.02% |
14.91% |
24.01% |
46,018 |
| 2025/01/17 |
61.66% |
14.3% |
23.97% |
45,900 |
| 2025/01/22 |
61.4% |
13.9% |
24.62% |
45,729 |
| 2025/02/07 |
60.79% |
14.43% |
24.71% |
45,513 |
| 2025/02/14 |
60.31% |
14.76% |
24.84% |
45,179 |
| 2025/02/21 |
61.34% |
14.01% |
24.57% |
47,149 |
| 2025/02/27 |
61.32% |
13.97% |
24.64% |
47,051 |
| 2025/03/07 |
59.63% |
14.62% |
25.69% |
46,207 |
| 2025/03/14 |
55.53% |
16.34% |
28.07% |
43,692 |
| 2025/03/21 |
55.77% |
16.75% |
27.4% |
43,660 |
| 2025/03/28 |
55.3% |
17.7% |
26.91% |
43,644 |
| 2025/04/02 |
54.88% |
16.92% |
28.14% |
43,439 |
| 2025/04/11 |
53.91% |
16.78% |
29.27% |
43,207 |
| 2025/04/18 |
53.88% |
16.92% |
29.12% |
44,309 |
| 2025/04/25 |
54.84% |
16.7% |
28.39% |
44,424 |
| 2025/05/02 |
54.32% |
17.28% |
28.34% |
44,188 |
| 2025/05/09 |
53.81% |
17.44% |
28.66% |
43,855 |
| 2025/05/16 |
40.12% |
13.1% |
46.71% |
41,850 |
| 2025/05/23 |
42.71% |
15.66% |
41.54% |
43,160 |
| 2025/05/29 |
45.19% |
15.83% |
38.94% |
44,024 |
| 2025/06/06 |
46.18% |
16.46% |
37.31% |
44,363 |
| 2025/06/13 |
46.58% |
16.68% |
36.65% |
44,152 |
| 2025/06/20 |
47.14% |
16.91% |
35.88% |
44,261 |
| 2025/06/27 |
47.13% |
18.16% |
34.65% |
44,432 |
| 2025/07/04 |
47.82% |
17.92% |
34.19% |
44,486 |
| 2025/07/11 |
48.16% |
18.72% |
33.04% |
44,575 |
| 2025/07/18 |
48.24% |
18.78% |
32.9% |
44,553 |
| 2025/07/25 |
48.62% |
18.54% |
32.77% |
44,413 |
| 2025/08/01 |
48.65% |
18.63% |
32.64% |
44,287 |
| 2025/08/08 |
48.6% |
18.72% |
32.61% |
44,159 |
| 2025/08/15 |
48.38% |
18.97% |
32.59% |
43,956 |
| 2025/08/22 |
47.09% |
20.1% |
32.73% |
42,989 |
| 2025/08/29 |
44.3% |
20.07% |
35.57% |
41,703 |
| 2025/09/05 |
42.7% |
20.12% |
37.12% |
40,623 |
| 2025/09/12 |
41.71% |
21.13% |
37.08% |
40,143 |
| 2025/09/19 |
41.15% |
21.04% |
37.75% |
39,511 |
| 2025/09/26 |
40.27% |
20.82% |
38.82% |
39,115 |
| 2025/10/03 |
40.79% |
20.27% |
38.84% |
39,635 |
| 2025/10/09 |
39.15% |
20.54% |
40.24% |
38,258 |
| 2025/10/17 |
42% |
21.35% |
36.57% |
39,969 |
| 2025/10/23 |
42.67% |
21.18% |
36.07% |
40,181 |
| 2025/10/31 |
43.12% |
20.73% |
36.07% |
40,052 |
| 2025/11/07 |
42.6% |
21.16% |
36.17% |
39,720 |
| 2025/11/14 |
43.32% |
21.36% |
35.23% |
39,773 |
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