台塑（1301）股票可以買嗎？K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期： ，每天14:00後更新。
| 開 | 高 | 低 | 收 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40.75 | 41.15 | 40.1 | 40.15 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
| 日期 | 開盤價 | 最高價 | 最低價 | 收盤價 | 成交量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/06/26 | 35.1 | 36.3 | 35.1 | 35.5 | 8,543 |
| 2025/06/27 | 35.75 | 36 | 34.85 | 35.25 | 7,530 |
| 2025/06/30 | 35 | 35.2 | 34.35 | 34.85 | 6,516 |
| 2025/07/01 | 34.85 | 36 | 34.85 | 35.6 | 6,596 |
| 2025/07/02 | 35.35 | 36.05 | 35.35 | 36 | 4,210 |
| 2025/07/03 | 35.9 | 36.55 | 35.9 | 36.3 | 4,871 |
| 2025/07/04 | 36.3 | 36.55 | 36.05 | 36.3 | 3,170 |
| 2025/07/07 | 36.15 | 36.2 | 35 | 35.2 | 6,310 |
| 2025/07/08 | 35.4 | 35.7 | 34.55 | 34.6 | 4,331 |
| 2025/07/09 | 34.55 | 34.7 | 34.2 | 34.2 | 5,080 |
| 2025/07/10 | 34.55 | 34.8 | 34.2 | 34.5 | 3,057 |
| 2025/07/11 | 34.1 | 34.3 | 33.4 | 34 | 6,441 |
| 2025/07/14 | 34.2 | 36 | 34.2 | 35.7 | 12,230 |
| 2025/07/15 | 35.75 | 37.2 | 35.6 | 35.95 | 17,454 |
| 2025/07/16 | 36 | 36.35 | 35.3 | 35.4 | 9,946 |
| 2025/07/17 | 35.7 | 37.9 | 35.55 | 37.75 | 21,469 |
| 2025/07/18 | 38 | 39.45 | 37.85 | 38.8 | 28,072 |
| 2025/07/21 | 38.5 | 39.5 | 38.45 | 38.9 | 16,240 |
| 2025/07/22 | 39.1 | 39.8 | 38.5 | 38.95 | 13,643 |
| 2025/07/23 | 39 | 40.4 | 38.8 | 40.2 | 15,922 |
| 2025/07/24 | 40.6 | 40.6 | 38.65 | 39.3 | 22,187 |
| 2025/07/25 | 39.3 | 39.75 | 38.85 | 39.25 | 8,848 |
| 2025/07/28 | 39.3 | 40.9 | 38.75 | 40.05 | 18,238 |
| 2025/07/29 | 40.15 | 40.15 | 38.75 | 38.8 | 13,073 |
| 2025/07/30 | 39.05 | 42.65 | 39.05 | 42.65 | 27,123 |
| 2025/07/31 | 43.15 | 43.2 | 41.95 | 42.65 | 39,518 |
| 2025/08/01 | 41.8 | 42.25 | 40.6 | 40.7 | 27,806 |
| 2025/08/04 | 39.55 | 39.55 | 37.05 | 37.85 | 28,013 |
| 2025/08/05 | 38.25 | 38.4 | 37.25 | 37.45 | 14,264 |
| 2025/08/06 | 37.45 | 39.1 | 37.3 | 38.4 | 17,785 |
| 2025/08/07 | 38.4 | 38.95 | 38.05 | 38.2 | 9,839 |
| 2025/08/08 | 38.15 | 38.25 | 37.4 | 37.55 | 9,484 |
| 2025/08/11 | 36.95 | 38.5 | 36.4 | 38.45 | 12,655 |
| 2025/08/12 | 39 | 40.85 | 38.8 | 39.7 | 22,517 |
| 2025/08/13 | 39.9 | 40.75 | 39.15 | 39.3 | 17,818 |
| 2025/08/14 | 39.7 | 40.2 | 39.25 | 39.3 | 10,837 |
| 2025/08/15 | 39.5 | 40 | 38.5 | 39.75 | 10,744 |
| 2025/08/18 | 39.9 | 40.95 | 39.75 | 40.4 | 14,236 |
| 2025/08/19 | 40.8 | 41.1 | 39.15 | 39.2 | 12,537 |
| 2025/08/20 | 39.05 | 39.65 | 38.1 | 38.1 | 12,959 |
| 2025/08/21 | 38.55 | 41.2 | 38.5 | 40.55 | 21,824 |
| 2025/08/22 | 40.9 | 41.15 | 40.3 | 40.3 | 14,448 |
| 2025/08/25 | 40.8 | 40.9 | 39.9 | 40 | 13,012 |
| 2025/08/26 | 40.3 | 41.15 | 39.95 | 40.75 | 11,827 |
| 2025/08/27 | 40.45 | 40.95 | 40 | 40 | 12,952 |
| 2025/08/28 | 40.2 | 40.2 | 39.05 | 39.1 | 9,916 |
| 2025/08/29 | 39.2 | 39.6 | 38.55 | 38.95 | 8,772 |
| 2025/09/01 | 38.55 | 38.9 | 38.1 | 38.8 | 8,180 |
| 2025/09/02 | 38.9 | 39.25 | 38 | 38.05 | 8,520 |
| 2025/09/03 | 38.05 | 38.4 | 37.7 | 37.75 | 6,817 |
| 2025/09/04 | 38.1 | 38.65 | 37.8 | 38.25 | 4,823 |
| 2025/09/05 | 38.25 | 38.7 | 37.4 | 37.8 | 8,610 |
| 2025/09/08 | 38 | 38.5 | 37.8 | 38.15 | 4,417 |
| 2025/09/09 | 38 | 38.7 | 37.85 | 38.15 | 5,934 |
| 2025/09/10 | 38.4 | 38.4 | 37.8 | 38.15 | 5,904 |
| 2025/09/11 | 38.05 | 38.1 | 37.45 | 37.45 | 7,250 |
| 2025/09/12 | 37.45 | 37.95 | 37.45 | 37.7 | 4,226 |
| 2025/09/15 | 38.2 | 38.3 | 37.7 | 37.75 | 3,668 |
| 2025/09/16 | 38.35 | 38.45 | 37.5 | 37.5 | 5,772 |
| 2025/09/17 | 37.5 | 38.2 | 37.4 | 37.4 | 5,348 |
| 2025/09/18 | 37.45 | 37.65 | 37.35 | 37.35 | 4,145 |
| 2025/09/19 | 37.5 | 38.5 | 37.45 | 38.4 | 6,721 |
| 2025/09/22 | 38.6 | 38.7 | 38.05 | 38.65 | 6,371 |
| 2025/09/23 | 38.75 | 39.2 | 38.5 | 38.6 | 7,374 |
| 2025/09/24 | 38.85 | 38.85 | 37.9 | 38.05 | 7,004 |
| 2025/09/25 | 38.05 | 39 | 38 | 38.9 | 7,055 |
| 2025/09/26 | 38.9 | 38.95 | 38 | 38.4 | 6,878 |
| 2025/09/30 | 38.85 | 39.2 | 38.5 | 38.55 | 5,052 |
| 2025/10/01 | 38.6 | 38.95 | 38.25 | 38.25 | 4,653 |
| 2025/10/02 | 38.55 | 38.55 | 37.5 | 37.5 | 7,912 |
| 2025/10/03 | 37.55 | 37.55 | 36.4 | 36.65 | 10,649 |
| 2025/10/07 | 36.55 | 38.15 | 36.25 | 37.5 | 10,735 |
| 2025/10/08 | 37.6 | 38.75 | 37.6 | 38.75 | 8,867 |
| 2025/10/09 | 38.75 | 39.4 | 38.55 | 39.15 | 11,768 |
| 2025/10/13 | 38.4 | 38.45 | 37.55 | 38.2 | 11,244 |
| 2025/10/14 | 38.3 | 38.65 | 37.35 | 37.35 | 9,216 |
| 2025/10/15 | 37.5 | 37.6 | 36.7 | 37 | 6,658 |
| 2025/10/16 | 37 | 37.85 | 37 | 37.45 | 4,088 |
| 2025/10/17 | 37.4 | 39.65 | 37.35 | 38.9 | 13,472 |
| 2025/10/20 | 39.05 | 39.7 | 38.6 | 38.85 | 9,055 |
| 2025/10/21 | 39.1 | 39.35 | 38.35 | 38.45 | 9,435 |
| 2025/10/22 | 38.45 | 39.45 | 38.45 | 38.95 | 6,125 |
| 2025/10/23 | 39.25 | 40.8 | 38.85 | 40.2 | 18,840 |
| 2025/10/27 | 40.8 | 41.25 | 39.9 | 40 | 13,950 |
| 2025/10/28 | 40 | 40.2 | 39.15 | 39.7 | 11,108 |
| 2025/10/29 | 39.8 | 39.85 | 39.15 | 39.15 | 5,743 |
| 2025/10/30 | 39.5 | 39.65 | 38.7 | 39.2 | 6,046 |
| 2025/10/31 | 39.3 | 39.3 | 38.05 | 38.1 | 9,584 |
| 2025/11/03 | 38.1 | 38.35 | 37.65 | 37.7 | 7,760 |
| 2025/11/04 | 38.05 | 38.5 | 37.6 | 37.65 | 8,335 |
| 2025/11/05 | 37.4 | 37.45 | 36.5 | 36.85 | 14,162 |
| 2025/11/06 | 36.95 | 37.55 | 36.7 | 37.35 | 8,975 |
| 2025/11/07 | 37.35 | 39.1 | 37.1 | 38.6 | 13,166 |
| 2025/11/10 | 38.6 | 39.25 | 38 | 39 | 9,162 |
| 2025/11/11 | 39.25 | 41 | 39.05 | 39.9 | 21,922 |
| 2025/11/12 | 40.2 | 41.9 | 39.6 | 41.35 | 27,214 |
| 2025/11/13 | 41.4 | 44.1 | 41.1 | 42.65 | 57,223 |
| 2025/11/14 | 42 | 43.1 | 41.6 | 42.55 | 30,614 |
| 2025/11/17 | 42.5 | 43.95 | 42 | 43.1 | 23,367 |
| 2025/11/18 | 42.7 | 43.1 | 41.3 | 41.5 | 24,392 |
| 2025/11/19 | 41 | 41.25 | 40.05 | 40.05 | 15,273 |
| 2025/11/20 | 40.85 | 42.25 | 40.4 | 41.3 | 12,068 |
| 2025/11/21 | 40.6 | 41.15 | 39.8 | 40 | 12,117 |
| 2025/11/24 | 40.35 | 40.85 | 39.6 | 40.5 | 7,774 |
| 2025/11/25 | 41 | 41 | 38.4 | 38.9 | 14,737 |
| 2025/11/26 | 39.05 | 39.7 | 38.9 | 39.5 | 5,944 |
| 2025/11/27 | 39.45 | 41.75 | 39.45 | 41.55 | 14,510 |
| 2025/11/28 | 41.6 | 42.25 | 41.15 | 41.65 | 13,080 |
| 2025/12/01 | 41.65 | 42.6 | 41.65 | 41.9 | 11,058 |
| 2025/12/02 | 42.2 | 44.4 | 42.05 | 43.45 | 22,364 |
| 2025/12/03 | 43.8 | 44.6 | 43.05 | 43.85 | 23,490 |
| 2025/12/04 | 44.5 | 44.8 | 42.25 | 42.8 | 18,096 |
| 2025/12/05 | 42.6 | 42.6 | 41.6 | 42.15 | 8,629 |
| 2025/12/08 | 42.15 | 42.3 | 41.5 | 41.9 | 6,367 |
| 2025/12/09 | 41.45 | 41.5 | 40.25 | 40.3 | 13,810 |
| 2025/12/10 | 40.3 | 40.6 | 39.8 | 39.8 | 8,487 |
| 2025/12/11 | 40 | 40.2 | 39.45 | 39.85 | 7,420 |
| 2025/12/12 | 40.25 | 40.4 | 39.7 | 39.9 | 6,008 |
| 2025/12/15 | 39.75 | 41.4 | 39.55 | 40.9 | 11,424 |
| 2025/12/16 | 40.75 | 41.15 | 40.1 | 40.15 | 8,051 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
以下內容由AI生成：
點擊查看。AI建議自動產生於：，輸入：市場模型。 台塑 (1301) 股票走勢分析與預測 趨勢判斷與理由 綜…
台塑 (1301) 股票走勢分析與預測
趨勢判斷與理由
綜合目前所提供的台塑 (1301) 近 90 個交易日的 K 線圖、MA5（五日移動平均線）與 MA20（二十日移動平均線），以及成交量柱狀圖，預期未來數天至數週，台塑股價將面臨整理或小幅修正的壓力。
觀察圖表，自 2025 年 11 月下旬以來，股價經歷一波快速上漲後，在 11 月 26 日創下近期高點約 44.5 元。隨後，股價開始回落，並於 12 月 5 日觸及低點約 39.5 元。近期（截至 2025-12-16）股價在 40 元上下震盪。 MA5 已跌破 MA20，顯示短期趨勢轉弱，但 MA20 仍向上緩慢爬升，顯示中長期趨勢尚屬穩定。成交量在近期的高峰後逐漸萎縮，這可能意味著市場觀望氣氛濃厚，追價意願不高。
從 K 線的組合來看，近期的綠色 K 線（下跌）與紅色 K 線（上漲）交替出現，且實體幅度相對不大，顯示多空雙方在當前價位附近勢均力敵，市場正在尋找新的方向。考量到先前一波漲勢後出現的技術性回檔，以及量能未能有效放大來支持進一步上攻，因此判斷短期內股價難以快速突破新高，較有可能進入盤整或遇上小幅回調。
未來目標價格區間
基於上述分析，預期台塑股價在未來數天至數週的目標價格區間可能落在 38.5 元至 41.5 元之間。若能成功站穩此區間，並在其中累積足夠的動能，則有機會再次挑戰前波高點。反之，若跌破 38.5 元，則可能需要進一步測試下方支撐。
操作建議
對於尋求操作建議的散戶投資人，針對「台塑 (1301) 可以買嗎」這個問題，筆者認為目前應保持謹慎，暫不建議積極追高買入。
- 逢低承接的機會：若股價回測至 38.5 元至 39.5 元的區間，且成交量並未明顯放大，可視為一個較為安全的介入點，但需嚴格設定停損。
- 等待趨勢確認：若投資人偏好更為穩健的操作，建議等待股價能夠有效站穩 MA20（約在 40.5-41 元附近，視 MA20 變化而定），並且出現價量配合的上漲訊號時，再考慮進場。
- 嚴設停損：無論何時進場，都應設定明確的停損點。例如，若以 39 元左右買入，可將停損設定在 38 元下方，以控制潛在虧損。
- 避開追高：絕對避免在股價出現明顯拉升且成交量異常放大時追高買入，以防成為短期套牢的對象。
- 風險分散：投資有賺有賠，即使是大型藍籌股，也存在市場風險。建議投資人將資金分散於不同標的，降低單一股票的風險。
總體而言，台塑 (1301) 在觀察期間內展現了中長期的上升趨勢，但短期面臨整理壓力。現階段的價格區間，適合謹慎的投資者尋找較佳的進場點，並嚴控風險。積極的操作應等待更明確的上漲訊號出現。
結論重申
基於 2025-12-16 的技術分析，預計台塑 (1301) 在未來數天至數週將呈現整理或小幅修正的趨勢。預期的目標價格區間為 38.5 元至 41.5 元。散戶投資人應保持謹慎，考慮在價格回落至支撐區時進行分批布局，並務必設定停損，避免追高。
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
| 日期 | 100張以下持股比例 | 100~1000張持股比例 | 1000張以上持股比例 | 總股東人數 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10/18 | 21.18% | 6.42% | 72.32% | 321,211 |
| 2024/10/25 | 21.51% | 6.58% | 71.85% | 323,515 |
| 2024/11/01 | 21.53% | 6.52% | 71.88% | 323,830 |
| 2024/11/08 | 21.54% | 6.54% | 71.83% | 323,602 |
| 2024/11/15 | 21.92% | 6.63% | 71.37% | 325,751 |
| 2024/11/22 | 21.97% | 6.61% | 71.37% | 326,693 |
| 2024/11/29 | 22.15% | 6.64% | 71.12% | 327,443 |
| 2024/12/06 | 22.52% | 6.61% | 70.81% | 329,179 |
| 2024/12/13 | 22.83% | 6.71% | 70.39% | 331,062 |
| 2024/12/20 | 22.87% | 6.68% | 70.37% | 331,230 |
| 2024/12/27 | 22.95% | 6.72% | 70.26% | 331,753 |
| 2025/01/03 | 23.01% | 6.75% | 70.17% | 331,351 |
| 2025/01/10 | 23.18% | 6.86% | 69.89% | 331,672 |
| 2025/01/17 | 23.28% | 6.89% | 69.76% | 333,967 |
| 2025/01/22 | 23.34% | 6.94% | 69.64% | 334,291 |
| 2025/02/07 | 23.5% | 7.04% | 69.41% | 335,190 |
| 2025/02/14 | 23.46% | 7.07% | 69.39% | 335,812 |
| 2025/02/21 | 23.52% | 7.12% | 69.3% | 336,613 |
| 2025/02/27 | 23.5% | 7.05% | 69.37% | 336,497 |
| 2025/03/07 | 23.54% | 7.04% | 69.34% | 336,833 |
| 2025/03/14 | 23.74% | 7.2% | 68.98% | 338,353 |
| 2025/03/21 | 23.35% | 7.03% | 69.55% | 335,083 |
| 2025/03/28 | 23.56% | 7.05% | 69.3% | 337,109 |
| 2025/04/02 | 23.62% | 7% | 69.31% | 336,975 |
| 2025/04/11 | 23.66% | 7.1% | 69.17% | 336,347 |
| 2025/04/18 | 23.64% | 7.07% | 69.2% | 335,881 |
| 2025/04/25 | 23.75% | 7.09% | 69.07% | 336,461 |
| 2025/05/02 | 23.8% | 7.11% | 69% | 336,315 |
| 2025/05/09 | 23.65% | 7.07% | 69.21% | 334,773 |
| 2025/05/16 | 23.57% | 7.09% | 69.26% | 333,613 |
| 2025/05/23 | 23.58% | 7.12% | 69.23% | 333,308 |
| 2025/05/29 | 23.48% | 7.09% | 69.34% | 332,522 |
| 2025/06/06 | 23.62% | 7.17% | 69.13% | 333,098 |
| 2025/06/13 | 23.53% | 7.15% | 69.25% | 332,065 |
| 2025/06/20 | 23.61% | 7.17% | 69.17% | 332,839 |
| 2025/06/27 | 23.56% | 7.13% | 69.22% | 332,231 |
| 2025/07/04 | 23.45% | 7.1% | 69.37% | 330,995 |
| 2025/07/11 | 23.54% | 7.11% | 69.28% | 331,084 |
| 2025/07/18 | 23.44% | 7.1% | 69.38% | 330,123 |
| 2025/07/25 | 23.12% | 7.1% | 69.71% | 327,218 |
| 2025/08/01 | 22.88% | 7% | 70.05% | 326,519 |
| 2025/08/08 | 23.36% | 7.2% | 69.37% | 330,545 |
| 2025/08/15 | 23.4% | 7.24% | 69.29% | 329,700 |
| 2025/08/22 | 23.31% | 7.18% | 69.45% | 328,002 |
| 2025/08/29 | 23.52% | 7.3% | 69.08% | 329,489 |
| 2025/09/05 | 23.64% | 7.27% | 69.02% | 329,927 |
| 2025/09/12 | 23.7% | 7.27% | 68.95% | 329,664 |
| 2025/09/19 | 23.73% | 7.36% | 68.85% | 329,454 |
| 2025/09/26 | 23.57% | 7.3% | 69.05% | 327,688 |
| 2025/10/03 | 23.62% | 7.33% | 68.97% | 327,550 |
| 2025/10/09 | 23.57% | 7.34% | 69.01% | 326,577 |
| 2025/10/17 | 23.69% | 7.37% | 68.86% | 327,267 |
| 2025/10/23 | 23.55% | 7.34% | 69.04% | 325,815 |
| 2025/10/31 | 23.45% | 7.22% | 69.24% | 324,721 |
| 2025/11/07 | 23.92% | 7.36% | 68.63% | 327,843 |
| 2025/11/14 | 23.27% | 7.18% | 69.5% | 323,206 |
| 2025/11/21 | 23.09% | 7.19% | 69.66% | 321,144 |
| 2025/11/28 | 23.13% | 7.27% | 69.52% | 321,283 |
| 2025/12/05 | 22.98% | 7.24% | 69.71% | 319,906 |
| 2025/12/12 | 23.39% | 7.44% | 69.12% | 322,793 |
ANONYMOUS在2025/03/13 00:10
#1301
連這都能用AI啦 水喔 有沒有預測個股的 出個散戶救星
ANONYMOUS在2024/12/16 15:08
#1301
大戶慢出，散戶狂接，還沒有底
ANONYMOUS在2024/12/02 18:41
#1301
41.........................
ANONYMOUS在2021/12/25 23:49
#1301
等年后公司法說展往，再考慮一下
ANONYMOUS在2021/12/25 23:48
#1301
可是一百多了，利多也不買，回85再考慮
ANONYMOUS在2021/12/25 23:46
#1301
大陸封城了 算利多嗎
ANONYMOUS在2019/05/02 02:55
#1301
大戶散戶對坐